2025 Pokémon sealed research

← Market Watch

Merchant Mew · Set library

2025 Pokémon sealed research

All released English main and special expansions for this year.

Coverage checked November 2, 2026. Release dates are expansion launches; individual sealed products can launch later. Promotional card series, restaurant promotions, reprint-only mini sets and seasonal Trick or Trade releases are outside this expansion catalog.

7 expansions

Open a set for its release reference and available product research. Each snapshot identifies its dated evidence and comparison method.

Phantasmal Flames

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Mega EvolutionMain expansionEnglishReleased November 14, 2025
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$257.05C$474.76C$692.4601-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$540.05 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 654137, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$330.12 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$332.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$348.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$361.30 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$299.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$394.89 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$409.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$384.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$406.12 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$451.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$453.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$451.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$476.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$487.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$514.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$526.17 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$533.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$579.51 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$572.40 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$551.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$552.28 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$633.23 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$648.03 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$647.38 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$610.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$632.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$635.09 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$589.59 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$579.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$650.33 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$644.61 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$637.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$613.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$610.64 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$579.23 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$591.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$588.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$563.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$481.92 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$540.32 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$527.42 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$537.29 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$545.42 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$550.26 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$553.38 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$557.15 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$566.14 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$563.83 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$556.84 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$557.19 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$556.21 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$555.96 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$554.34 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$509.83 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$528.62 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$546.54 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$540.47 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$540.32 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$548.12 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$548.43 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$549.28 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$548.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$549.74 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$552.33 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$553.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$556.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$557.07 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$551.26 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$552.17 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$550.34 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$549.84 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$547.38 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$553.15 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$552.45 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$551.84 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$550.09 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$550.09 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$548.52 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$547.49 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$546.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$546.15 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$545.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$542.88 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$541.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$541.27 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$541.06 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$540.05 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS-25.9%109 vs 147 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS+0.01%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON13.8% above median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$13.18/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+47.50 percentage pointsOwn 63.59% vs peer median 16.09%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-4.14%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+63.59%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-1.18%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · More than 5,000 packs · Source dated Feb 24, 2026. Checked November 2, 2026.

Double Rare95% confidence interval ±1.12 percentage points
20.77%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±0.75 percentage points
8.06%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.86 percentage points
10.97%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.31 percentage points
1.25%
Mega Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.08 percentage points
0.08%

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Phantasmal Flames Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$540.05 CAD · Market estimate · US386.36

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 16 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Phantasmal Flames Booster Box — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Booster Box C$541.06 36 packs · C$15.03/pack
Phantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Elite Trainer Box C$205.91 9 packs · C$22.88/pack
Phantasmal Flames Booster Bundle — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Booster Bundle C$99.90 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Booster Pack C$17.32 1 pack · C$17.32/pack
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Cottonee] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Cottonee] C$17.84 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Whimsicott] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Single Pack Blister [Whimsicott] C$18.49 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack C$19.35 1 pack · C$19.35/pack
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Arven's Greedent] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Arven's Greedent] C$19.35 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Ethan's Magcargo] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Ethan's Magcargo] C$22.41 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Blaziken] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Blaziken] C$42.97 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Hydrapple] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Premium Checklane Blister [Hydrapple] C$43.14 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Sneasel] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Sneasel] C$59.22 3 packs · C$19.74/pack
Phantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Weavile] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames 3 Pack Blister [Weavile] C$59.80 3 packs · C$19.93/pack
Phantasmal Flames Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$64.31 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$77.10 Pack mix/count not established
Phantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referencePhantasmal Flames Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$387.04 11 packs · C$35.19/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Mega Charizard X ex - 125/094 · Holofoil C$815.94 Special Illustration Rare
Mega Charizard X ex - 130/094 · Holofoil C$257.40 Mega Hyper Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Phantasmal Flames Booster Box — C$541.06 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$15.03 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 130 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$15.0036 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Mega Evolution

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Mega EvolutionMain expansionEnglishReleased September 26, 2025
Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$293.15C$385.50C$477.8501-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$415.57 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 644300, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$314.62 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$311.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$363.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$341.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$316.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$319.31 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$346.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$360.58 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$327.21 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$374.82 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$376.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$376.22 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$375.83 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$403.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$414.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$411.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$414.08 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$413.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$410.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$393.03 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$412.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$424.51 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$444.67 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$413.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$437.67 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$442.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$424.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$458.34 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$449.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$457.82 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$457.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$459.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$451.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$449.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$451.66 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$446.99 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$446.46 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$436.87 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$435.81 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$432.44 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$430.96 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$430.79 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$432.72 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$430.23 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$425.06 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$425.04 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$425.00 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$416.92 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$404.09 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$406.44 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$404.62 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$410.27 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$409.44 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$401.53 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$401.92 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$399.95 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$399.53 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$403.53 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$405.17 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$405.08 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$405.08 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$408.76 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$409.82 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$410.23 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$410.93 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$410.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$405.88 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$401.50 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$404.41 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$404.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$403.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$402.61 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$403.11 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$403.80 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$405.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$405.88 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$408.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$410.98 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$412.90 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$415.85 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$416.19 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$416.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$417.41 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$417.49 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$417.26 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$417.65 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$415.57 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS-27.9%129 vs 179 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS+3.20%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON17.9% below median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$14.06/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+15.99 percentage pointsOwn 32.09% vs peer median 16.09%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-4.88%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+32.09%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-0.07%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · More than 5,000 packs · Source dated Sep 30, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Double Rare95% confidence interval ±1.12 percentage points
20.91%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±0.76 percentage points
8.23%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.86 percentage points
10.89%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.27 percentage points
0.99%
Mega Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.08 percentage points
0.08%

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$415.57 CAD · Market estimate · US297.30

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 25 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box C$417.26 36 packs · C$11.59/pack
Mega Evolution Booster Box — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Booster Box C$418.74 36 packs · C$11.63/pack
Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Gardevoir] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Gardevoir] C$160.05 9 packs · C$17.78/pack
Mega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Lucario] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Elite Trainer Box [Mega Lucario] C$167.09 9 packs · C$18.57/pack
Mega Evolution Booster Bundle — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Booster Bundle C$89.75 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Booster Pack — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Booster Pack C$13.04 1 pack · C$13.04/pack
Mega Evolution Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Sleeved Booster Pack C$13.68 1 pack · C$13.68/pack
Mega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Drifblim — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Drifblim C$18.80 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Drifloon] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Drifloon] C$19.09 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Lycanroc] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Lycanroc] C$19.54 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Wailord] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Single Pack Blister [Wailord] C$22.03 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Kangaskhan] — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Kangaskhan] C$28.92 2 packs · C$14.46/pack
Mega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Gardevoir] — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Gardevoir] C$28.96 2 packs · C$14.48/pack
Mega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Venusaur] — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Venusaur] C$29.14 2 packs · C$14.57/pack
Mega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Lucario] — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Lucario] C$32.05 2 packs · C$16.03/pack
Mega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Latias] — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin [Mega Latias] C$34.65 2 packs · C$17.33/pack
Mega Evolution Premium Checklane Blister [Meowscarada] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Premium Checklane Blister [Meowscarada] C$38.41 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Premium Checklane Blister [Tyranitar] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Premium Checklane Blister [Tyranitar] C$46.37 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution 3 Pack Blister [Golduck] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution 3 Pack Blister [Golduck] C$48.20 3 packs · C$16.07/pack
Mega Evolution Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$50.10 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution 3 Pack Blister [Psyduck] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution 3 Pack Blister [Psyduck] C$62.65 3 packs · C$20.88/pack
Mega Evolution Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$62.76 Pack mix/count not established
Mega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Gardevoir] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Gardevoir] C$267.86 11 packs · C$24.35/pack
Mega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Lucario] — sealed product referenceMega Evolution Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Mega Lucario] C$281.15 11 packs · C$25.56/pack
Mega Heroes Mini Tin Display — sealed product referenceMega Heroes Mini Tin Display C$336.32 2 packs · C$168.16/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Mega Lucario ex - 188/132 · Holofoil C$286.31 Mega Hyper Rare
Mega Gardevoir ex - 178/132 · Holofoil C$226.42 Special Illustration Rare
Mega Lucario ex - 179/132 · Holofoil C$226.25 Special Illustration Rare
Mega Gardevoir ex - 187/132 · Holofoil C$213.86 Mega Hyper Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Mega Evolution Enhanced Booster Box — C$417.26 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$11.59 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 188 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$11.5436 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Black Bolt

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Scarlet & VioletSpecial expansionEnglishReleased July 18, 2025
Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box — sealed English product reference
Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$99.33C$184.96C$270.6001-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$216.80 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 630686, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$116.26 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$115.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$119.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$116.67 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$118.16 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$123.47 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$119.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$121.30 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$127.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$126.99 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$127.69 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$134.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$141.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$150.10 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$153.81 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$152.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$153.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$161.33 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$164.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$171.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$162.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$177.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$198.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$178.18 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$182.12 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$195.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$202.18 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$216.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$241.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$250.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$245.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$250.09 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$247.56 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$254.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$241.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$244.04 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$246.42 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$246.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$246.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$240.67 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$237.09 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$231.15 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$230.71 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$230.94 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$230.55 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$231.71 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$233.59 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$234.68 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$238.06 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$238.72 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$239.53 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$238.41 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$234.10 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$230.93 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$227.41 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$225.87 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$226.61 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$225.26 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$225.58 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$225.37 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$226.11 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$230.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$230.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$231.25 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$231.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$230.92 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$230.64 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$229.25 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$228.02 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$225.20 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$224.37 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$224.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$222.80 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$222.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$222.75 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$223.06 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$223.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$223.89 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$223.86 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$223.49 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$221.54 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$218.00 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$216.87 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$215.64 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$214.91 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$215.85 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$216.80 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+3.3%125 vs 121 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-3.82%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON10.7% above median9 other standard ETB sets; one featured product per set. Median C$21.76/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+37.81 percentage pointsOwn 86.49% vs peer median 48.67%; 8 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-11.88%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+86.49%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-3.00%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · Pooled study: over 700 packs across Black Bolt and White Flare, more than 350 of each · Source dated Jul 21, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Poké Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±3.36 percentage points
30.56%
Double Rare95% confidence interval ±2.98 percentage points
21.11%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±1.71 percentage points
5.83%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±2.70 percentage points
16.39%
Master Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±1.61 percentage points
5.14%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.81 percentage points
1.25%
Black White RareNot established by this study
Unknown

Pooled estimates rely on the study’s assumption that the split sets have similar rates; these are not separately measured rates for this set alone. No Black White Rare was observed, so its chance and expected spend are unknown—not zero.

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate

C$216.80 CAD · Market estimate · US155.10

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 15 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceBlack Bolt Elite Trainer Box C$216.80 9 packs · C$24.09/pack
Black Bolt Booster Bundle — sealed product referenceBlack Bolt Booster Bundle C$131.52 Pack mix/count not established
Black Bolt Booster Bundle Display — sealed product referenceBlack Bolt Booster Bundle Display C$2,603.19 Pack mix/count not established
Black Bolt Booster Pack — sealed product referenceBlack Bolt Booster Pack C$20.11 1 pack · C$20.11/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Alomomola & Axew] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Alomomola & Axew] C$39.22 2 packs · C$19.61/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Elektross & Galvantula] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Elektross & Galvantula] C$39.57 2 packs · C$19.79/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Garbodor & Amoonguss] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Garbodor & Amoonguss] C$40.07 2 packs · C$20.04/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Volcarona & Emolga] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Volcarona & Emolga] C$41.74 2 packs · C$20.87/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Mienshao & Klinklang] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Mienshao & Klinklang] C$42.44 2 packs · C$21.22/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Lilligant & Whimsicot] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Lilligant & Whimsicot] C$43.04 2 packs · C$21.52/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Krookodile & Excadrill] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Krookodile & Excadrill] C$45.22 2 packs · C$22.61/pack
Unova Mini Tin [Chandelure & Zorua] — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin [Chandelure & Zorua] C$48.50 2 packs · C$24.25/pack
Unova Victini Illustration Collection — sealed product referenceUnova Victini Illustration Collection C$99.89 Pack mix/count not established
Unova Mini Tin Display — sealed product referenceUnova Mini Tin Display C$353.04 1 pack · C$353.04/pack
Black Bolt Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referenceBlack Bolt Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$365.19 11 packs · C$33.20/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Victini - 171/086 · Holofoil C$860.50 Black White Rare
Zekrom ex - 172/086 · Holofoil C$821.25 Black White Rare
Zekrom ex - 166/086 · Holofoil C$312.73 Special Illustration Rare
Seismitoad - 105/086 · Holofoil C$273.17 Illustration Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Black Bolt Elite Trainer Box — C$216.80 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$24.09 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 324 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 2 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$24.099 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

White Flare

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Scarlet & VioletSpecial expansionEnglishReleased July 18, 2025
White Flare Elite Trainer Box — sealed English product reference
White Flare Elite Trainer Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$95.82C$163.42C$231.0301-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$195.86 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 630689, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$111.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$111.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$108.90 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$109.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$113.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$116.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$112.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$115.04 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$116.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$119.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$120.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$120.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$128.54 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$134.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$135.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$137.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$136.61 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$138.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$152.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$154.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$144.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$165.51 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$186.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$178.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$170.21 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$178.23 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$181.59 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$195.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$207.35 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$205.64 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$202.54 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$199.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$213.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$209.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$213.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$213.43 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$215.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$216.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$216.38 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$216.27 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$217.94 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$214.42 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$212.56 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$214.02 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$215.01 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$216.52 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$216.18 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$214.98 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$214.97 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$214.48 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$215.26 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$215.55 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$211.39 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$207.35 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$207.57 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$203.74 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$203.11 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$202.96 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$202.69 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$202.99 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$202.46 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$205.41 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$206.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$208.59 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$208.97 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$209.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$205.62 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$202.81 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$201.69 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$200.81 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$198.70 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$200.12 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$199.61 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$199.61 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$198.52 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$199.23 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$200.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$200.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$200.43 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$198.81 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$198.43 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$197.52 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$196.17 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$194.29 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$193.54 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$195.45 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$195.86 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+15.4%120 vs 104 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-3.29%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON5.1% below median9 other standard ETB sets; one featured product per set. Median C$22.92/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+27.20 percentage pointsOwn 75.88% vs peer median 48.67%; 8 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-9.49%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+75.88%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-1.48%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTElevated · consider waitingPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · Pooled study: over 700 packs across Black Bolt and White Flare, more than 350 of each · Source dated Jul 21, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Poké Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±3.36 percentage points
30.56%
Double Rare95% confidence interval ±2.98 percentage points
21.11%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±1.71 percentage points
5.83%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±2.70 percentage points
16.39%
Master Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±1.61 percentage points
5.14%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.81 percentage points
1.25%
Black White RareNot established by this study
Unknown

Pooled estimates rely on the study’s assumption that the split sets have similar rates; these are not separately measured rates for this set alone. No Black White Rare was observed, so its chance and expected spend are unknown—not zero.

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

White Flare Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate

C$195.86 CAD · Market estimate · US140.12

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 5 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
White Flare Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceWhite Flare Elite Trainer Box C$195.45 9 packs · C$21.72/pack
White Flare Booster Bundle — sealed product referenceWhite Flare Booster Bundle C$120.53 Pack mix/count not established
White Flare Booster Bundle Display — sealed product referenceWhite Flare Booster Bundle Display C$2,424.05 Pack mix/count not established
White Flare Booster Pack — sealed product referenceWhite Flare Booster Pack C$19.00 1 pack · C$19.00/pack
White Flare Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referenceWhite Flare Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$337.93 11 packs · C$30.72/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Victini - 172/086 · Holofoil C$744.36 Black White Rare
Reshiram ex - 173/086 · Holofoil C$642.90 Black White Rare
Reshiram ex - 166/086 · Holofoil C$213.81 Special Illustration Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

White Flare Elite Trainer Box — C$195.45 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$21.72 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 325 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$21.769 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Destined Rivals

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Scarlet & VioletMain expansionEnglishReleased May 30, 2025
Destined Rivals Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Destined Rivals Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$487.90C$712.38C$936.8701-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$533.88 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 624679, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$554.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$562.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$575.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$603.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$676.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$706.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$806.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$777.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$781.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$768.22 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$734.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$713.86 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$729.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$735.31 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$811.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$809.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$826.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$831.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$816.62 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$817.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$832.28 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$837.81 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$877.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$893.42 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$888.48 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$845.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$842.16 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$831.57 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$812.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$829.58 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$810.86 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$821.42 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$780.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$771.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$759.61 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$755.87 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$738.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$654.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$615.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$661.51 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$613.54 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$611.54 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$595.28 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$579.98 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$563.29 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$562.08 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$573.82 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$586.27 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$596.57 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$605.89 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$601.79 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$604.48 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$590.29 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$582.63 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$580.30 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$568.30 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$536.32 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$568.60 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$574.23 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$576.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$569.59 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$567.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$563.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$560.99 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$567.09 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$566.68 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$562.91 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$562.91 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$560.04 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$557.14 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$555.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$551.59 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$550.41 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$549.85 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$547.07 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$545.13 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$543.21 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$543.21 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$541.87 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$538.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$537.66 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$534.28 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$533.83 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$533.39 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$531.46 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$531.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$533.88 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS-24.6%172 vs 228 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-6.15%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON12.5% above median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$13.18/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-19.96 percentage pointsOwn -3.70% vs peer median 16.26%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-18.39%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE-3.70%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-0.88%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTNear recorded low · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - Booster Box retailer product imagebooster boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - Booster BoxC$529.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗
Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - Elite Trainer Box retailer product imageelite trainer boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - Elite Trainer BoxC$149.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗
Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - 3 Pack Blister - Kangaskhan retailer product image3 pack blisterPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Destined Rivals - 3 Pack Blister - KangaskhanC$69.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · More than 8,000 packs · Source dated May 30, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Double Rare95% confidence interval ±0.84 percentage points
19.83%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±0.52 percentage points
6.39%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.58 percentage points
8.29%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.22 percentage points
1.06%
Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.17 percentage points
0.67%

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Destined Rivals Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$533.88 CAD · Market estimate · US381.94

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 21 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Destined Rivals Booster Box — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Booster Box C$533.09 36 packs · C$14.81/pack
Destined Rivals Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Elite Trainer Box C$150.00 9 packs · C$16.67/pack
Destined Rivals Booster Bundle — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Booster Bundle C$84.33 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Fun Pack — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Fun Pack C$8.65 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Booster Pack — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Booster Pack C$12.15 1 pack · C$12.15/pack
Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack C$14.54 1 pack · C$14.54/pack
Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Zarude] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Zarude] C$18.67 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Rabsca] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Rabsca] C$23.66 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Single Pack Blister [Eevee] C$24.76 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Gastrodon] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Gastrodon] C$25.61 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss] C$52.45 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$53.72 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$54.40 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Zebstrika] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Zebstrika] C$63.11 3 packs · C$21.04/pack
Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Kangaskhan] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Kangaskhan] C$67.07 3 packs · C$22.36/pack
Destined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Skeledirge] — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Premium Checklane Blister [Skeledirge] C$67.08 Pack mix/count not established
Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Build & Battle Box C$96.15 4 packs · C$24.04/pack
Destined Rivals 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2] C$123.80 3 packs · C$41.27/pack
Destined Rivals Half Booster Box — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Half Booster Box C$441.91 18 packs · C$24.55/pack
Destined Rivals Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$564.38 11 packs · C$51.31/pack
Destined Rivals Build & Battle Box Display — sealed product referenceDestined Rivals Build & Battle Box Display C$858.60 4 packs · C$214.65/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Team Rocket's Mewtwo ex - 231/182 · Holofoil C$454.03 Special Illustration Rare
Cynthia's Garchomp ex - 232/182 · Holofoil C$228.96 Special Illustration Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Destined Rivals Booster Box — C$533.09 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$14.81 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 244 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$14.8336 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Journey Together

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Scarlet & VioletMain expansionEnglishReleased March 28, 2025
Journey Together Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Journey Together Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$248.80C$343.58C$438.3501-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$291.66 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 610931, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$342.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$345.00 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$349.44 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$351.56 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$346.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$343.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$346.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$348.47 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$348.42 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$352.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$352.33 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$356.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$375.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$376.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$380.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$365.92 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$380.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$382.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$387.06 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$395.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$400.04 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$405.82 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$410.30 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$416.42 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$419.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$420.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$419.73 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$417.08 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$399.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$391.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$394.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$400.16 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$414.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$417.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$417.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$416.35 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$416.35 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$417.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$417.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$419.80 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$419.79 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$419.54 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$418.46 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$405.45 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$356.86 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$332.70 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$333.18 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$337.08 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$342.95 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$342.42 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$336.80 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$335.00 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$332.26 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$324.15 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$302.08 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$286.86 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$286.07 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$287.37 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$279.73 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$280.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$274.25 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$267.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$269.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$268.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$267.15 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$269.13 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$269.10 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$271.29 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$269.97 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$269.92 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$268.98 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$270.08 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$275.88 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$282.91 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$283.43 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$285.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$285.79 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$286.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$287.46 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$289.79 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$290.92 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$290.13 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$288.63 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$287.39 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$287.39 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$289.99 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$291.66 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+51.8%302 vs 199 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS+1.36%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON42.4% below median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$14.06/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-31.16 percentage pointsOwn -14.90% vs peer median 16.26%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-30.09%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE-14.90%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE+0.65%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTNear recorded low · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Journey Together - Booster Bundle retailer product imagebooster bundlePokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Journey Together - Booster BundleC$62.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source dated Mar 28, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Double Rare95% confidence interval ±0.85 percentage points
20.29%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±0.52 percentage points
6.54%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.59 percentage points
8.50%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.23 percentage points
1.16%
Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.18 percentage points
0.73%

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Rows may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, pack-cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Journey Together Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$291.66 CAD · Market estimate · US208.66

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 18 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Journey Together Booster Box — sealed product referenceJourney Together Booster Box C$289.99 36 packs · C$8.06/pack
Journey Together Enhanced Booster Box — sealed product referenceJourney Together Enhanced Booster Box C$321.06 36 packs · C$8.92/pack
Journey Together Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceJourney Together Elite Trainer Box C$189.95 9 packs · C$21.11/pack
Journey Together Booster Bundle — sealed product referenceJourney Together Booster Bundle C$56.42 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Booster Pack — sealed product referenceJourney Together Booster Pack C$9.60 1 pack · C$9.60/pack
Journey Together Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceJourney Together Sleeved Booster Pack C$11.39 1 pack · C$11.39/pack
Journey Together Single Pack Blister [Scraggy] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Single Pack Blister [Scraggy] C$14.38 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Single Pack Blister [Yanma] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Single Pack Blister [Yanma] C$16.14 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Single Pack Blister [Archaludon] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Single Pack Blister [Archaludon] C$18.00 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together 3 Pack Blister [Yanmega] — sealed product referenceJourney Together 3 Pack Blister [Yanmega] C$33.62 3 packs · C$11.21/pack
Journey Together Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$35.81 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together 3 Pack Blister [Scrafty] — sealed product referenceJourney Together 3 Pack Blister [Scrafty] C$37.70 3 packs · C$12.57/pack
Journey Together Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$43.07 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Single Pack Blister [Melmetal] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Single Pack Blister [Melmetal] C$48.45 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Premium Checklane Blister [Klinklang] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Premium Checklane Blister [Klinklang] C$54.46 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together Premium Checklane Blister [Rhyperior] — sealed product referenceJourney Together Premium Checklane Blister [Rhyperior] C$57.99 Pack mix/count not established
Journey Together 3 Pack Blister [Set of 2] C$60.79 3 packs · C$20.26/pack
Journey Together Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referenceJourney Together Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$270.40 11 packs · C$24.58/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.

Post-ready daily snapshot

Journey Together Booster Box — C$289.99 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$8.06 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 190 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$8.1036 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Prismatic Evolutions

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Scarlet & VioletSpecial expansionEnglishReleased January 17, 2025
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box — sealed English product reference
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$145.81C$229.91C$314.0101-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$168.17 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 593355, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$170.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$177.62 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$173.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$181.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$194.48 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$194.84 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$194.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$205.00 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$211.57 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$241.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$251.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$265.54 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$273.70 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$284.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$283.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$253.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$248.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$233.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$235.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$233.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$237.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$240.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$222.56 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$230.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$226.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$243.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$218.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$232.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$259.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$297.73 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$289.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$246.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$234.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$236.09 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$231.48 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$233.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$229.92 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$219.58 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$224.95 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$222.40 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$232.52 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$233.74 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$229.25 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$226.86 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$223.24 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$211.43 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$217.32 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$212.77 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$213.33 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$208.37 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$197.37 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$198.28 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$194.41 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$191.79 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$195.68 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$195.57 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$190.42 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$189.64 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$180.75 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$173.90 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$182.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$180.22 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$167.34 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$172.42 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$171.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$172.45 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$166.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$172.91 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$178.65 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$177.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$183.01 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$182.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$181.11 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$174.40 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$171.02 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$172.84 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$171.15 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$166.31 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$170.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$170.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$166.38 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$162.09 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$169.68 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$167.88 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$170.14 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$170.06 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$168.17 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+65.6%1704 vs 1029 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-10.63%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON18.5% below median9 other standard ETB sets; one featured product per set. Median C$22.92/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-61.72 percentage pointsOwn -1.44% vs peer median 60.28%; 8 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-23.41%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE-1.44%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-1.64%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTNear recorded low · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Prismatic Evolutions - Elite Trainer Box retailer product imageelite trainer boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Prismatic Evolutions - Elite Trainer BoxC$169.95 CADC$18.88 per pack · Retailer-stated 9 packs
View dated source offer ↗
Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Prismatic Evolutions - Booster Bundle retailer product imagebooster bundlePokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Prismatic Evolutions - Booster BundleC$139.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗

Product research:

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 1,200 packs · Source dated Jan 17, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.

Poké Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±2.60 percentage points
33.10%
Double Rare95% confidence interval ±2.05 percentage points
16.51%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±1.45 percentage points
7.46%
ACE SPEC Rare95% confidence interval ±1.17 percentage points
4.68%
Master Ball Foil95% confidence interval ±1.19 percentage points
4.92%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.81 percentage points
2.22%
Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.41 percentage points
0.56%
Important limitations

Special Illustration Rare figures need extra care: rare multi-hit packs affect card counts versus pack-hit frequency. These aggregate rarity figures are not a C$200+ hit probability. The source’s 7.46 Ultra Rare row is displayed here as a percentage, consistent with its table context.

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Rows may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, pack-cost recovery or profit.

Read the original study

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate

C$168.17 CAD · Market estimate · US120.31

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 18 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box C$166.97 9 packs · C$18.55/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box (Dollar General Exclusive) — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box (Dollar General Exclusive) C$274.29 9 packs · C$30.48/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle C$101.58 Pack mix/count not established
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle + Surprise Box Bundle (Sam's Club) — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle + Surprise Box Bundle (Sam's Club) C$204.72 Pack mix/count not established
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Display — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Booster Bundle Display C$2,665.06 Pack mix/count not established
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Pack — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Booster Pack C$19.82 1 pack · C$19.82/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Jolteon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Jolteon] C$47.16 2 packs · C$23.58/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Flareon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Flareon] C$48.10 2 packs · C$24.05/pack
Prismatic Evolutions 2-Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions 2-Pack Blister [Eevee] C$49.12 Pack mix/count not established
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Espeon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Espeon] C$53.19 2 packs · C$26.60/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Leafeon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Leafeon] C$53.98 2 packs · C$26.99/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Glaceon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Glaceon] C$53.98 2 packs · C$26.99/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Vaporeon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Vaporeon] C$55.98 2 packs · C$27.99/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Umbreon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Umbreon] C$56.30 2 packs · C$28.15/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Sylveon] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin [Sylveon] C$59.07 2 packs · C$29.54/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$81.93 Pack mix/count not established
Prismatic Evolutions Mini Tin Display — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Mini Tin Display C$323.66 1 pack · C$323.66/pack
Prismatic Evolutions Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) — sealed product referencePrismatic Evolutions Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) C$538.70 11 packs · C$48.97/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Umbreon ex - 161/131 · Holofoil C$1,655.51 Special Illustration Rare
Sylveon ex - 156/131 · Holofoil C$557.65 Special Illustration Rare
Leafeon ex - 144/131 · Holofoil C$411.96 Special Illustration Rare
Espeon ex - 155/131 · Holofoil C$370.93 Special Illustration Rare
Glaceon ex - 150/131 · Holofoil C$339.39 Special Illustration Rare
Vaporeon ex - 149/131 · Holofoil C$317.51 Special Illustration Rare
Flareon ex - 146/131 · Holofoil C$231.90 Special Illustration Rare
Eevee ex - 167/131 · Holofoil C$216.70 Special Illustration Rare
Jolteon ex - 153/131 · Holofoil C$216.55 Special Illustration Rare
Roaring Moon ex · Holofoil C$211.39 Special Illustration Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Prismatic Evolutions Elite Trainer Box — C$166.97 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$18.55 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 348 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$18.699 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →