2020 Pokémon sealed research

← Market Watch

Merchant Mew · Set library

2020 Pokémon sealed research

All released English main and special expansions for this year.

Coverage checked November 2, 2026. Release dates are expansion launches; individual sealed products can launch later. Promotional card series, restaurant promotions, reprint-only mini sets and seasonal Trick or Trade releases are outside this expansion catalog.

5 expansions

Open a set for its release reference and available product research. Each snapshot identifies its dated evidence and comparison method.

Vivid Voltage

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Sword & ShieldMain expansionEnglishReleased November 13, 2020
Vivid Voltage Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Vivid Voltage Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$333.66C$418.50C$503.3401-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$445.30 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 221313, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$350.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$352.20 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$358.86 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$364.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$370.40 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$371.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$372.43 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$375.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$382.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$387.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$387.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$391.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$394.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$401.62 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$405.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$405.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$403.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$404.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$408.47 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$406.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$405.95 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$409.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$411.44 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$413.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$419.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$421.95 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$440.27 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$460.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$474.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$482.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$485.72 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$486.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$483.58 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$481.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$476.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$462.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$462.94 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-07 C$442.36 Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07
2026-08-10 C$439.04 Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10
2026-08-13 C$439.83 Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13
2026-08-16 C$440.71 Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16
2026-08-19 C$441.65 Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19
2026-08-22 C$442.92 Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22
2026-08-25 C$443.55 Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25
2026-08-28 C$443.06 Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28
2026-08-31 C$442.22 Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31
2026-09-03 C$440.64 Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03
2026-09-06 C$436.44 Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06
2026-09-09 C$436.02 Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09
2026-09-12 C$436.21 Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12
2026-09-15 C$436.07 Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15
2026-09-18 C$437.97 Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18
2026-09-21 C$438.91 Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21
2026-09-24 C$438.91 Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24
2026-09-27 C$440.92 Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27
2026-09-30 C$440.14 Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30
2026-10-03 C$439.54 Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03
2026-10-06 C$439.90 Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06
2026-10-07 C$439.64 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$440.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$440.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$440.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$440.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$440.74 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$440.74 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$442.19 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$443.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$441.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$441.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$441.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$442.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$442.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$442.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$443.35 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$442.24 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$443.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$443.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$444.58 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$445.30 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS-32.3%21 vs 31 reported units · 2026-10-01–2026-10-30 vs 2026-09-01–2026-09-30. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS+0.97%2026-09-28–2026-09-30 vs 2026-10-28–2026-10-30; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON12.0% below median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$14.06/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+10.89 percentage pointsOwn 26.98% vs peer median 16.09%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-0.84%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+26.98%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE+0.00%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Limited observational sample

Reported rarity frequencies

DigitalTQ: 630 packs. Own openings combined with third-party reports; checked November 2, 2026.

Secret Rare Holo7 observations / 630 packs
1.11%
Rare Rainbow8 observations / 630 packs
1.27%
Ultra Rare25 observations / 630 packs
3.97%
Rare Holo VMAX27 observations / 630 packs
4.29%
Amazing Rare36 observations / 630 packs
5.71%
Rare Holo V80 observations / 630 packs
12.7%
Rare Holo137 observations / 630 packs
21.75%
Important limitations

The publisher explicitly warns that this dataset may be inaccurate or unreliable. We show the observed rarity counts for context, not calibrated individual-card odds or a C$200+ spend forecast. Small samples and selection bias can materially affect the results; zero observations never mean impossible.

Original dataset and caution

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Vivid Voltage Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$445.30 CAD · Market estimate · US318.57

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 13 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Vivid Voltage Booster Box — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Booster Box C$445.30 36 packs · C$12.37/pack
Vivid Voltage Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Elite Trainer Box C$198.71 8 packs · C$24.84/pack
Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zacian] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zacian] C$331.12 12 packs · C$27.59/pack
Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zamazenta] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Elite Trainer Box Plus [Zamazenta] C$334.03 12 packs · C$27.84/pack
Vivid Voltage Booster Pack — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Booster Pack C$14.03 1 pack · C$14.03/pack
Vivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack C$18.27 1 pack · C$18.27/pack
Vivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Scorbunny] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Scorbunny] C$27.75 Pack mix/count not established
Vivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Grookey] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Single Pack Blister [Grookey] C$28.21 Pack mix/count not established
Vivid Voltage Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$57.92 Pack mix/count not established
Vivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$58.76 Pack mix/count not established
Vivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Sobble] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Sobble] C$61.01 3 packs · C$20.34/pack
Vivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Vaporeon] — sealed product referenceVivid Voltage 3 Pack Blister [Vaporeon] C$61.84 3 packs · C$20.61/pack
Fall 2020 Collector's Chest Tin — sealed product referenceFall 2020 Collector's Chest Tin C$122.34 5 packs · C$24.47/pack

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Pikachu VMAX (Secret) · Holofoil C$234.77 Secret Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Vivid Voltage Booster Box — C$445.30 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$12.37 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 203 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$12.3736 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Champion’s Path

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Sword & ShieldSpecial expansionEnglishReleased September 25, 2020
Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box — sealed English product reference
Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$210.43C$283.13C$355.8301-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$292.13 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 218791, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$224.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$228.58 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$229.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$228.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$229.21 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$228.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$228.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$231.11 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$232.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$234.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$234.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$239.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$240.21 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$241.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$241.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$239.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$239.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$235.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$231.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$233.38 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$234.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$244.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$279.90 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$336.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$340.78 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$341.76 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$341.51 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$337.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$331.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$320.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$309.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$306.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$298.67 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$295.43 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$293.57 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$295.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$296.08 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-07 C$304.52 Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07
2026-08-10 C$304.82 Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10
2026-08-13 C$304.11 Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13
2026-08-16 C$304.50 Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16
2026-08-19 C$306.05 Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19
2026-08-22 C$306.76 Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22
2026-08-25 C$306.68 Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25
2026-08-28 C$305.24 Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28
2026-08-31 C$305.24 Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31
2026-09-03 C$304.86 Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03
2026-09-06 C$304.30 Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06
2026-09-09 C$304.68 Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09
2026-09-12 C$304.68 Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12
2026-09-15 C$304.68 Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15
2026-09-18 C$304.62 Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18
2026-09-21 C$304.58 Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21
2026-09-24 C$302.92 Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24
2026-09-27 C$301.90 Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27
2026-09-30 C$299.93 Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30
2026-10-03 C$299.93 Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03
2026-10-06 C$299.93 Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06
2026-10-07 C$299.93 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$299.93 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$299.93 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$299.93 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$298.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$298.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$298.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$298.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$298.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$298.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$298.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$298.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$298.32 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$297.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$297.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$295.54 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$295.54 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$295.01 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$295.01 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$295.01 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$293.83 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$293.83 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$293.86 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$293.80 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$293.80 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$292.96 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$292.13 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$292.13 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+100.0%20 vs 10 reported units · 2026-10-01–2026-10-30 vs 2026-09-01–2026-09-30. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-2.32%2026-09-28–2026-09-30 vs 2026-10-28–2026-10-30; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON34.2% above median9 other standard ETB sets; one featured product per set. Median C$21.76/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-30.15 percentage pointsOwn 30.12% vs peer median 60.28%; 8 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-2.44%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+30.12%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-0.58%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Champion's Path - Elite Trainer Box retailer product imageelite trainer boxPokemon - Champion's Path - Elite Trainer BoxC$299.95 CADC$30.00 per pack · Retailer-stated 10 packs
View dated source offer ↗

Community opening sample · English packs

Historical rarity observations

Burpies / Elite Fourum: 3,192 packs, compiled manually from YouTube and Twitch openings. Checked November 2, 2026.

Ultra RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
5.39% ±0.78%
Holo Rare VAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
15.73% ±1.26%
Holo Rare VMAXAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.55% ±0.62%
Rainbow RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
1.57% ±0.43%
Secret RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
1.32% ±0.40%
Important limitations

Observational sample, not a random manufacturer audit. Video selection, product batching and unobserved print runs may bias the results; statistical margins do not cover those biases. These are rarity frequencies, not odds of recovering your spending or pulling any C$200+ card. Categories may overlap.

We use the published percentages rather than inconsistent “1 in” conversions. No individual-card odds are inferred by assuming equal frequency.

Original research and methodology

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate

C$292.13 CAD · Market estimate · US208.99

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 3 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceChampion's Path Elite Trainer Box C$292.13 10 packs · C$29.21/pack
Champion's Path Booster Pack — sealed product referenceChampion's Path Booster Pack C$27.96 1 pack · C$27.96/pack
Champion's Path Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceChampion's Path Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$122.94 Pack mix/count not established

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Charizard V (Secret) · Holofoil C$345.68 Secret Rare
Charizard VMAX (Secret) · Holofoil C$259.36 Secret Rare
Post-ready daily snapshot

Champion's Path Elite Trainer Box — C$292.13 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$29.21 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 80 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$29.2110 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Darkness Ablaze

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Sword & ShieldMain expansionEnglishReleased August 14, 2020
Darkness Ablaze Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Darkness Ablaze Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$433.73C$486.27C$538.8001-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$481.40 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 216853, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$458.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$453.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$453.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$453.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$453.18 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$453.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$452.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$452.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$454.69 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$454.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$453.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$453.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$453.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$459.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$462.66 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$462.66 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$462.66 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$461.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$456.87 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$451.95 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$463.68 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$465.08 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$474.12 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$477.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$482.80 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$484.09 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$492.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$492.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$499.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$500.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$501.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$501.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$506.26 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$510.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$514.49 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$516.78 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$516.78 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$517.84 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$518.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$519.42 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$519.24 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$519.41 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$519.74 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$519.74 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$519.74 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$520.25 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$520.25 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$520.58 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$519.79 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$518.70 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$516.05 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$515.33 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$513.15 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$512.14 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$512.07 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$507.89 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$504.20 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$503.18 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$500.78 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$500.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$500.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$496.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$494.18 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$494.18 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$494.18 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$490.71 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$490.71 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$487.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$487.36 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$483.58 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$483.58 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$483.58 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$483.02 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$483.02 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$483.02 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$481.40 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+0.0%13 vs 13 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-4.28%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON3.6% below median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$13.87/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-11.33 percentage pointsOwn 4.93% vs peer median 16.26%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-7.04%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+4.93%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-1.22%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTMid-range · compare offersPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Darkness Ablaze - Elite Trainer Box retailer product imageelite trainer boxPokemon - Darkness Ablaze - Elite Trainer BoxC$169.95 CADC$21.24 per pack · Retailer-stated 8 packs
View dated source offer ↗

Community opening sample · English packs

Historical rarity observations

Burpies / Elite Fourum: 5,040 packs, compiled manually from YouTube and Twitch openings. Checked November 2, 2026.

Ultra RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.85% ±0.53%
Holo Rare VAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
12.58% ±0.92%
Holo Rare VMAXAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.85% ±0.53%
Rainbow RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
1.19% ±0.30%
Secret RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
0.87% ±0.26%
Important limitations

Observational sample, not a random manufacturer audit. Video selection, product batching and unobserved print runs may bias the results; statistical margins do not cover those biases. These are rarity frequencies, not odds of recovering your spending or pulling any C$200+ card. Categories may overlap.

We use the published percentages rather than inconsistent “1 in” conversions. No individual-card odds are inferred by assuming equal frequency.

Original research and methodology

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Darkness Ablaze Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$481.40 CAD · Market estimate · US344.40

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 11 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Darkness Ablaze Booster Box — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Booster Box C$483.02 36 packs · C$13.42/pack
Darkness Ablaze Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Elite Trainer Box C$176.79 8 packs · C$22.10/pack
Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Booster Pack C$14.23 1 pack · C$14.23/pack
Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster Pack C$15.85 1 pack · C$15.85/pack
Darkness Ablaze Single Pack Blister [Hatenna] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Single Pack Blister [Hatenna] C$19.83 1 packs · C$19.83/pack
Darkness Ablaze Premium Checklane Blister — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Premium Checklane Blister C$33.10 Pack mix/count not established
Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] C$50.31 3 packs · C$16.77/pack
Darkness Ablaze Single Pack Blister [Pikachu] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Single Pack Blister [Pikachu] C$57.03 1 packs · C$57.03/pack
Darkness Ablaze Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$60.90 Pack mix/count not established
Darkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister [Flareon] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze 3 Pack Blister [Flareon] C$68.44 3 packs · C$22.81/pack
Darkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceDarkness Ablaze Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$71.16 Pack mix/count not established

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.

Post-ready daily snapshot

Darkness Ablaze Booster Box — C$483.02 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$13.42 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 201 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$13.3736 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Rebel Clash

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Sword & ShieldMain expansionEnglishReleased May 1, 2020
Rebel Clash Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Rebel Clash Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$645.08C$685.06C$725.0401-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$675.58 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 210561, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$669.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$669.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$669.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$669.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$681.36 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$681.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$681.04 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$689.81 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$691.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$691.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$695.59 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$695.59 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$696.57 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$696.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$697.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$697.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$697.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$696.86 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$697.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$697.53 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$698.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$698.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$698.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$698.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$700.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$691.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$691.41 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$693.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$693.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$693.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$693.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$693.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$692.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$692.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$692.97 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$693.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$693.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$695.13 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-08 C$692.09 Three-day market interval 2026-08-06–2026-08-08
2026-08-11 C$692.09 Three-day market interval 2026-08-09–2026-08-11
2026-08-14 C$690.18 Three-day market interval 2026-08-12–2026-08-14
2026-08-17 C$689.21 Three-day market interval 2026-08-15–2026-08-17
2026-08-20 C$689.21 Three-day market interval 2026-08-18–2026-08-20
2026-08-23 C$689.21 Three-day market interval 2026-08-21–2026-08-23
2026-08-26 C$685.90 Three-day market interval 2026-08-24–2026-08-26
2026-08-29 C$683.27 Three-day market interval 2026-08-27–2026-08-29
2026-09-01 C$682.31 Three-day market interval 2026-08-30–2026-09-01
2026-09-04 C$681.34 Three-day market interval 2026-09-02–2026-09-04
2026-09-07 C$679.71 Three-day market interval 2026-09-05–2026-09-07
2026-09-10 C$679.41 Three-day market interval 2026-09-08–2026-09-10
2026-09-13 C$677.93 Three-day market interval 2026-09-11–2026-09-13
2026-09-16 C$676.02 Three-day market interval 2026-09-14–2026-09-16
2026-09-19 C$676.02 Three-day market interval 2026-09-17–2026-09-19
2026-09-22 C$676.02 Three-day market interval 2026-09-20–2026-09-22
2026-09-25 C$676.02 Three-day market interval 2026-09-23–2026-09-25
2026-09-28 C$676.51 Three-day market interval 2026-09-26–2026-09-28
2026-10-01 C$676.83 Three-day market interval 2026-09-29–2026-10-01
2026-10-04 C$676.51 Three-day market interval 2026-10-02–2026-10-04
2026-10-07 C$676.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$675.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$675.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$675.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$675.67 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$674.94 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$675.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$674.16 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$675.58 TCGplayer daily market chart

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS+100.0%4 vs 2 reported units · 2026-10-02–2026-10-31 vs 2026-09-02–2026-10-01. Small sample: interpret cautiously. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-0.32%2026-09-29–2026-10-01 vs 2026-10-29–2026-10-31; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON42.4% above median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$13.18/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-15.36 percentage pointsOwn 0.89% vs peer median 16.26%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-2.81%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+0.89%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE+0.21%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTCompare offers · thin tradingPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Low observed sales weaken the signal. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.

Community opening sample · English packs

Historical rarity observations

Burpies / Elite Fourum: 2,736 packs, compiled manually from YouTube and Twitch openings. Checked November 2, 2026.

Ultra RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.76% ±0.71%
Holo Rare VAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
12.65% ±1.25%
Holo Rare VMAXAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.40% ±0.68%
Rainbow RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
1.50% ±0.46%
Secret RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
0.95% ±0.36%
Important limitations

Observational sample, not a random manufacturer audit. Video selection, product batching and unobserved print runs may bias the results; statistical margins do not cover those biases. These are rarity frequencies, not odds of recovering your spending or pulling any C$200+ card. Categories may overlap.

We use the published percentages rather than inconsistent “1 in” conversions. No individual-card odds are inferred by assuming equal frequency.

Original research and methodology

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Rebel Clash Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$675.58 CAD · Market estimate · US483.32

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 12 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Rebel Clash Booster Box — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Booster Box C$674.16 36 packs · C$18.73/pack
Rebel Clash Elite Trainer Box — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Elite Trainer Box C$451.75 8 packs · C$56.47/pack
Rebel Clash Booster Pack — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Booster Pack C$16.19 1 pack · C$16.19/pack
Rebel Clash Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Sleeved Booster Pack C$18.07 1 pack · C$18.07/pack
Rebel Clash Single Pack Blister [Noctowl] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Single Pack Blister [Noctowl] C$27.96 Pack mix/count not established
Rebel Clash Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$53.51 Pack mix/count not established
Rebel Clash 3 Pack Blister [Duraludon] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash 3 Pack Blister [Duraludon] C$82.47 3 packs · C$27.49/pack
Rebel Clash 3 Pack Blister [Rayquaza] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash 3 Pack Blister [Rayquaza] C$87.26 3 packs · C$29.09/pack
Legends of Galar Tin [Zamazenta V] — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin [Zamazenta V] C$95.20 5 packs · C$19.04/pack
Rebel Clash Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$96.45 Pack mix/count not established
Rebel Clash Premium Checklane Blister [Gengar] — sealed product referenceRebel Clash Premium Checklane Blister [Gengar] C$114.84 Pack mix/count not established
Legends of Galar Tin [Set of 2] — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin [Set of 2] C$251.60 Pack mix/count not established

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.

Post-ready daily snapshot

Rebel Clash Booster Box — C$674.16 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$18.73 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 209 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$18.7736 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →

Sword & Shield

Market Watch snapshot · CAD

Sword & ShieldMain expansionEnglishReleased February 7, 2020
Sword & Shield Booster Box — sealed English product reference
Sword & Shield Booster Box
Product reference image

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 70 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$836.31C$921.67C$1,007.0301-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$963.07 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 206027, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$870.37 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$890.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$890.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$890.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$895.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$895.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$898.77 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$902.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$906.28 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$916.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$930.91 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$934.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$934.93 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$940.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$940.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$951.29 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$956.72 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$947.51 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$952.39 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$956.78 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$956.78 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$962.64 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$972.98 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$970.25 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$958.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$958.19 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$947.71 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$951.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$951.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$963.31 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$963.31 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-07 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07
2026-08-10 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10
2026-08-13 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13
2026-08-16 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16
2026-08-19 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19
2026-08-22 C$970.48 Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22
2026-08-25 C$968.03 Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25
2026-08-28 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28
2026-08-31 C$963.95 Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31
2026-09-03 C$963.95 Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03
2026-09-06 C$963.95 Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06
2026-09-09 C$963.95 Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09
2026-09-12 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12
2026-09-15 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15
2026-09-18 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18
2026-09-21 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21
2026-09-24 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24
2026-09-27 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27
2026-09-30 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30
2026-10-03 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03
2026-10-06 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06
2026-10-09 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-07–2026-10-09
2026-10-12 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-10–2026-10-12
2026-10-15 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-13–2026-10-15
2026-10-18 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-16–2026-10-18
2026-10-21 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-19–2026-10-21
2026-10-24 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-22–2026-10-24
2026-10-27 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-25–2026-10-27
2026-10-30 C$963.66 Three-day market interval 2026-10-28–2026-10-30
2026-10-31 C$963.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-11-01 C$963.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-11-02 C$963.07 Daily archive snapshot
2026-11-03 C$963.07 Daily archive snapshot

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODSNo recorded units2026-10-01–2026-10-30: 0; 2026-09-01–2026-09-30: 0. A percentage change cannot be calculated from zero.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS+0.00%2026-09-28–2026-09-30 vs 2026-10-28–2026-10-30; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON103.0% above median26 other booster box sets; one featured product per set. Median C$13.18/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD-5.61 percentage pointsOwn 10.65% vs peer median 16.26%; 23 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-0.02%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+10.65%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTCompare offers · thin tradingPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Low observed sales weaken the signal. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.

Observed retailer asks · CAD

401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Pokemon - Sword and Shield 3-Pack Blister - Morpeko retailer product image3 pack blisterPokemon - Sword and Shield 3-Pack Blister - MorpekoC$72.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verification
View dated source offer ↗

Community opening sample · English packs

Historical rarity observations

Burpies / Elite Fourum: 4,628 packs, compiled manually from YouTube and Twitch openings. Checked November 2, 2026.

Ultra RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
3.74% ±0.55%
Rare Holo VAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
14.20% ±1.01%
Rare Holo VMAXAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
2.20% ±0.42%
Rainbow RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
1.23% ±0.32%
Secret RareAuthor-reported 95% margin; percentage points
0.91% ±0.27%
Important limitations

Observational sample, not a random manufacturer audit. Video selection, product batching and unobserved print runs may bias the results; statistical margins do not cover those biases. These are rarity frequencies, not odds of recovering your spending or pulling any C$200+ card. Categories may overlap.

We use the published percentages rather than inconsistent “1 in” conversions. No individual-card odds are inferred by assuming equal frequency.

Original research and methodology

Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars

Sword & Shield Booster Box · Latest market estimate

C$963.07 CAD · Market estimate · US688.99

Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded

Value, demand & opening outlook

The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.

Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.

Compare 16 exact sealed formats
Exact sealed product Market estimate Pack equivalent
Sword & Shield Booster Box — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Booster Box C$963.07 36 packs · C$26.75/pack
Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Zamazenta] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Zamazenta] C$241.58 8 packs · C$30.20/pack
Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Zacian] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Zacian] C$250.35 8 packs · C$31.29/pack
Sword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] C$517.17 8 packs · C$64.65/pack
Sword & Shield Booster Pack — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Booster Pack C$17.22 1 pack · C$17.22/pack
Sword and Shield Base Set Sleeved Booster Pack — sealed product referenceSword and Shield Base Set Sleeved Booster Pack C$23.59 1 pack · C$23.59/pack
Sword & Shield Single Blister Pack [Gossifleur] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Single Blister Pack [Gossifleur] C$24.46 Pack mix/count not established
Sword & Shield Single Blister Pack [Wooloo] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield Single Blister Pack [Wooloo] C$33.07 Pack mix/count not established
Sword and Shield Base Set Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceSword and Shield Base Set Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$71.36 Pack mix/count not established
Sword And Shield Base Set Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product referenceSword And Shield Base Set Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] C$78.00 Pack mix/count not established
Sword & Shield 3 Pack Blister [Morpeko] — sealed product referenceSword & Shield 3 Pack Blister [Morpeko] C$90.84 3 packs · C$30.28/pack
Legends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Inteleon V] (Retail Exclusive) — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Inteleon V] (Retail Exclusive) C$195.68 Pack mix/count not established
Legends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Cinderace V] (Retail Exclusive) — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Cinderace V] (Retail Exclusive) C$195.68 Pack mix/count not established
Spring 2020 Collector's Chest Tin — sealed product referenceSpring 2020 Collector's Chest Tin C$248.07 5 packs · C$49.61/pack
Legends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Rillaboom V] (Retail Exclusive) — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zacian V/Rillaboom V] (Retail Exclusive) C$251.59 Pack mix/count not established
Legends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zamazenta V/Inteleon V] (Retail Exclusive) — sealed product referenceLegends of Galar Tin + Galar Partners Tin 2-pack [Zamazenta V/Inteleon V] (Retail Exclusive) C$251.59 Pack mix/count not established

Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.

Post-ready daily snapshot

Sword & Shield Booster Box — C$963.07 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$26.75 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.

Pricing sources, conversion and coverage

Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 225 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.

USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-03 to 2026-11-03. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.

This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.

Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.

Recorded price changes

Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$26.7536 verified packs. Entire item price allocated to packs; promos and accessories not deducted.

A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.

Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.

Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →