Merchant Mew · Set library
2021 Pokémon sealed research
All released English main and special expansions for this year.
Coverage checked November 2, 2026. Release dates are expansion launches; individual sealed products can launch later. Promotional card series, restaurant promotions, reprint-only mini sets and seasonal Trick or Trade releases are outside this expansion catalog.
Open a set for its release reference and available product research. Each snapshot identifies its dated evidence and comparison method.
Fusion Strike
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 247654, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$1,182.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$1,220.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$1,245.52 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$1,284.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$1,333.93 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$1,341.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$1,350.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$1,369.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$1,398.60 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$1,398.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$1,404.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$1,389.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$1,396.46 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$1,395.12 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$1,384.21 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$1,383.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$1,380.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$1,381.01 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$1,389.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$1,386.25 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$1,387.48 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$1,476.66 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$1,573.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$1,584.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$1,575.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$1,586.04 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$1,586.04 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$1,576.82 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$1,550.65 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$1,555.29 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$1,544.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$1,542.04 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$1,524.65 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$1,477.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$1,430.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$1,387.41 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$1,387.41 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-07 | C$1,360.58 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07 |
| 2026-08-10 | C$1,355.77 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10 |
| 2026-08-13 | C$1,355.77 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13 |
| 2026-08-16 | C$1,355.36 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16 |
| 2026-08-19 | C$1,354.92 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19 |
| 2026-08-22 | C$1,354.40 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-25 | C$1,354.55 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25 |
| 2026-08-28 | C$1,354.27 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28 |
| 2026-08-31 | C$1,352.65 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31 |
| 2026-09-03 | C$1,352.76 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03 |
| 2026-09-06 | C$1,352.67 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06 |
| 2026-09-09 | C$1,354.82 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09 |
| 2026-09-12 | C$1,355.20 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-15 | C$1,354.69 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-18 | C$1,354.43 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-21 | C$1,356.40 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21 |
| 2026-09-24 | C$1,357.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24 |
| 2026-09-27 | C$1,357.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27 |
| 2026-09-30 | C$1,358.16 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30 |
| 2026-10-03 | C$1,358.28 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03 |
| 2026-10-06 | C$1,358.05 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$1,357.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$1,357.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$1,359.05 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$1,359.05 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$1,361.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$1,361.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$1,361.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$1,362.21 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$1,362.77 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$1,362.77 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$1,364.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$1,364.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$1,364.56 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$1,364.56 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$1,364.56 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$1,364.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$1,364.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$1,364.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$1,364.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$1,364.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$1,366.01 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$1,411.15 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$1,411.15 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$1,412.06 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$1,412.06 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$1,412.06 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$1,411.78 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$1,411.78 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Gengar VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$1,418.10 | Secret Rare |
| Espeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$472.81 | Secret Rare |
| Mew VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$318.66 | Secret Rare |
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 284 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 10 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Fusion Strike Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$1,411.78 CAD · Market estimate · US1010.00
Source updated 2026-11-03 · TCGplayer / TCGCSV · Shipping and tax excluded
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Celebrations
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 245140, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$1,144.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$1,150.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$1,160.80 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$1,190.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$1,229.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$1,232.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$1,245.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$1,265.36 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$1,279.85 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$1,320.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$1,326.33 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$1,332.15 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$1,334.21 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$1,348.30 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$1,364.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$1,364.07 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$1,382.76 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$1,403.73 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$1,440.73 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$1,484.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$1,621.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$1,657.47 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$1,685.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$1,733.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$1,762.78 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$1,774.54 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$1,783.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$1,813.07 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$1,800.38 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$1,810.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$1,819.88 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$1,823.12 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$1,830.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$1,847.78 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$1,826.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$1,819.92 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$1,815.23 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-07 | C$1,788.82 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07 |
| 2026-08-10 | C$1,785.05 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10 |
| 2026-08-13 | C$1,782.67 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13 |
| 2026-08-16 | C$1,781.17 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16 |
| 2026-08-19 | C$1,762.01 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19 |
| 2026-08-22 | C$1,742.64 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-25 | C$1,736.35 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25 |
| 2026-08-28 | C$1,732.74 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28 |
| 2026-08-31 | C$1,730.21 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31 |
| 2026-09-03 | C$1,731.89 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03 |
| 2026-09-06 | C$1,732.82 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06 |
| 2026-09-09 | C$1,733.29 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09 |
| 2026-09-12 | C$1,733.29 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-15 | C$1,731.85 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-18 | C$1,728.98 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-21 | C$1,726.35 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21 |
| 2026-09-24 | C$1,713.90 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24 |
| 2026-09-27 | C$1,715.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27 |
| 2026-09-30 | C$1,723.10 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30 |
| 2026-10-03 | C$1,726.58 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03 |
| 2026-10-06 | C$1,726.58 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$1,726.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$1,714.95 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$1,705.44 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$1,705.44 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$1,705.44 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$1,697.89 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$1,693.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$1,686.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$1,686.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$1,686.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$1,686.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$1,686.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
elite trainer boxPokemon - Celebrations - Elite Trainer BoxC$519.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
mini tinPokemon - Celebrations - Mini Tins - AlolaC$119.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
ultra premium collectionPokemon - Celebrations - Ultra Premium CollectionC$1,799.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
Limited observational sample · Celebrations packs only
What the small sample actually showed
DigitalTQ reports 541 four-card Celebrations packs. Its own openings are mixed with third-party reports, and the publisher warns that the data may be inaccurate or unreliable. Checked November 2, 2026.
Important limitations
These are observed sample frequencies, not dependable per-card probabilities. Seven or two observations provide little precision; we do not use them to publish an expected C$200+ hit cost. Ordinary packs included alongside Celebrations packs are separate products and cannot be counted as Celebrations attempts.
Original counts and limitations
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection · Latest market estimate
C$1,686.96 CAD · Market estimate · US1206.87
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 18 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection |
C$1,686.96 | 17 packs · C$99.23/pack |
 Celebrations Elite Trainer Box |
C$446.83 | 10 packs · C$44.68/pack |
 Celebrations Booster Pack |
C$41.74 | 1 pack · C$41.74/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Unova] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242817_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Unova] |
C$77.35 | 2 packs · C$38.68/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Kalos] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242818_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Kalos] |
C$83.70 | 2 packs · C$41.85/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242819_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Alola] |
C$83.85 | 2 packs · C$41.93/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Johto] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242814_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Johto] |
C$93.76 | 2 packs · C$46.88/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Galar] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242820_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Galar] |
C$97.41 | 2 packs · C$48.71/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Sinnoh] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242816_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Sinnoh] |
C$101.45 | 2 packs · C$50.73/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Kanto] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242813_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Kanto] |
C$104.82 | 2 packs · C$52.41/pack |
![Celebrations Mini Tin [Hoenn] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242815_in_400x400.jpg) Celebrations Mini Tin [Hoenn] |
C$106.47 | 2 packs · C$53.24/pack |
![Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Lance's Charizard V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/251987_in_400x400.jpg) Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Lance's Charizard V] |
C$171.92 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Dark Sylveon V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/251988_in_400x400.jpg) Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Dark Sylveon V] |
C$178.92 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Dark Sylveon V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/251989_in_400x400.jpg) Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Dark Sylveon V] |
C$243.20 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Lance's Charizard V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/251986_in_400x400.jpg) Pokemon Celebrations Tin [Lance's Charizard V] |
C$262.41 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/252739_in_400x400.jpg) Pokemon Celebrations International Tin [Set of 2] |
C$350.26 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Celebrations Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$658.66 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Celebrations Mini Tin Display |
C$757.54 | 1 pack · C$757.54/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.
Post-ready daily snapshot
Celebrations Ultra-Premium Collection — C$1,686.96 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$99.23 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 50 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 19 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Daily-baseline coverage
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Evolving Skies
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 242436, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$3,063.32 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$3,119.86 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$3,260.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$3,362.09 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$3,422.19 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$3,438.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$3,457.64 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$3,517.47 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$3,512.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$3,520.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$3,383.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$3,457.75 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$3,457.75 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$3,552.47 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$3,588.81 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$3,599.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$3,605.08 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$3,639.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$3,652.88 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$3,530.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$3,668.53 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$3,699.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$3,709.45 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$3,737.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$3,777.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$3,777.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$3,795.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$3,795.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$3,795.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$3,749.43 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$3,732.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$3,716.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$3,652.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$3,636.15 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$3,635.80 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$3,522.18 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$3,509.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-07 | C$3,421.95 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07 |
| 2026-08-10 | C$3,404.47 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10 |
| 2026-08-13 | C$3,413.83 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13 |
| 2026-08-16 | C$3,424.74 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16 |
| 2026-08-19 | C$3,439.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19 |
| 2026-08-22 | C$3,445.95 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-25 | C$3,459.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25 |
| 2026-08-28 | C$3,445.28 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28 |
| 2026-08-31 | C$3,437.26 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31 |
| 2026-09-03 | C$3,436.52 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03 |
| 2026-09-06 | C$3,431.38 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06 |
| 2026-09-09 | C$3,432.03 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09 |
| 2026-09-12 | C$3,424.95 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-15 | C$3,414.06 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-18 | C$3,366.07 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-21 | C$3,327.34 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21 |
| 2026-09-24 | C$3,244.41 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24 |
| 2026-09-27 | C$3,223.33 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27 |
| 2026-09-30 | C$3,195.12 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30 |
| 2026-10-03 | C$3,187.64 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03 |
| 2026-10-06 | C$3,171.43 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$3,171.43 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$3,171.43 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$3,171.43 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$3,177.02 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$3,164.44 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$3,136.76 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$3,128.37 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$3,111.59 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$3,062.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$3,062.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$3,073.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$3,073.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$3,073.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$3,073.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$3,014.86 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$3,051.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$3,096.04 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$3,045.72 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$3,045.72 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$3,009.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$3,001.34 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$3,001.34 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$3,001.34 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$3,001.34 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$3,023.15 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$3,023.15 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$3,045.23 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$3,045.23 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source dated Feb 27, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.
The rarest specific-card estimate has a 95% interval reaching zero. Its point estimate cannot establish a reliable maximum spending budget.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Rows may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, pack-cost recovery or profit.
Read the original study
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Evolving Skies Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$3,045.23 CAD · Market estimate · US2178.59
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Opening versus buying a selected C$200+ card
Selected targets: Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret). This is a partial target list, not the chance of any C$200+ card or of making a profit.
Very uncertain estimate: the published interval reaches zero. Average spending below has no supported finite upper bound.
- Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret): C$3,213.47 raw market estimate · Underlying pricing reference
Percentages, assumptions and spending ranges
Umbreon point estimate 0.05%, reported uncertainty ±0.05 percentage points. The interval reaches zero: no finite upper spending bound is supported.
Odds evidence is cited in this set’s opening-study section. Independent, constant-probability packs are assumed. Gross spend = unrounded market pack cost ÷ selected-hit probability. Whole-product purchases can require more cash. Other pulls, extras, tax, delivery and resale proceeds are excluded; this is not net loss or return on investment.
| Packs opened | Chance of at least one selected hit | Chance of missing |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.05% | 99.95% |
| 10 | 0.50% | 99.50% |
| 100 | 4.88% | 95.12% |
These are model probabilities, not manufacturer guarantees. Raw-card market estimates are not guaranteed condition-specific sale proceeds.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 17 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Evolving Skies Booster Box |
C$3,045.23 | 36 packs · C$84.59/pack |
![Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242443_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] |
C$637.65 | 8 packs · C$79.71/pack |
![Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242434_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Flareon/Jolteon/Umbreon/Leafeon] |
C$769.59 | 8 packs · C$96.20/pack |
![Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/243721_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] |
C$1,543.28 | 8 packs · C$192.91/pack |
 Evolving Skies Booster Pack |
C$60.75 | 1 pack · C$60.75/pack |
 Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$80.51 | 1 pack · C$80.51/pack |
![Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Galarian Slowpoke] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242448_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Galarian Slowpoke] |
C$101.47 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242447_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Single Pack Blister [Eevee] |
C$121.18 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Evolving Skies Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/247497_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$236.28 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Eiscue] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242435_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Eiscue] |
C$312.14 | 3 packs · C$104.05/pack |
![Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/247498_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$361.32 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/242444_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies 3 Pack Blister [Umbreon] |
C$383.50 | 3 packs · C$127.83/pack |
![Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/246274_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8] |
C$756.43 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Jolteon/Flareon/Umbreon/Leafeon] (Exclusive) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/245376_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Jolteon/Flareon/Umbreon/Leafeon] (Exclusive) |
C$1,520.79 | 10 packs · C$152.08/pack |
![Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] (Exclusive) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/245352_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Glaceon/Vaporeon/Sylveon/Espeon] (Exclusive) |
C$1,559.23 | 10 packs · C$155.92/pack |
 Evolving Skies Half Booster Box |
C$2,229.49 | 18 packs · C$123.86/pack |
![Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] (Exclusive) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/245855_in_400x400.jpg) Evolving Skies Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] (Exclusive) |
C$3,145.89 | 10 packs · C$314.59/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Umbreon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$3,213.47 | Secret Rare |
| Rayquaza VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$1,735.73 | Secret Rare |
| Dragonite V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$668.93 | Ultra Rare |
| Rayquaza V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$658.74 | Ultra Rare |
| Umbreon V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$526.37 | Ultra Rare |
| Leafeon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$520.04 | Secret Rare |
| Sylveon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$505.11 | Secret Rare |
| Glaceon VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$407.28 | Secret Rare |
| Espeon V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$315.36 | Ultra Rare |
| Sylveon V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$266.29 | Ultra Rare |
| Glaceon V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$207.43 | Ultra Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Evolving Skies Booster Box — C$3,045.23 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$84.59 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 237 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Rip or buy? · All headline amounts in CAD
What could it cost to pull your target?
Very high uncertainty: the source’s 95% interval reaches zero. The following average is a point estimate; no finite upper spending bound is supported.
Each selected raw card below has a checked ask above C$200. This models the first hit of this exact card. It does not measure the chance of pulling any C$200+ card in the whole set.
Compare buying the card directly
Umbreon VMAX 215/203 — Alternate Art Secret
C$2,865.42 CADUS$2049.95 · Selected ask from Top Cut Central · English Near Mint Holofoil, ungraded
Check the raw-card offerThese are selected TCGplayer seller asks, not the lowest possible price, market averages or guaranteed resale values. Check other sellers and delivered cost before buying. Checked November 2, 2026; USD × 1.3978 using the Bank of Canada daily average. Shipping, tax, conversion fees and Canadian availability are not included or confirmed.
Compare opening costs by sealed format
| Checked format | Cost / pack | Average spend to selected hit |
|---|---|---|
|
36-pack booster box US$2449.00 converted · C$3,423.21 / 36 packs |
C$95.09 | C$190,178.46 |
All packs are treated as independent draws with the same estimated odds. Product premiums, promos and accessories are not deducted. Whole-product purchases can require more cash. Selected sealed ask US$2,449.00 from SkyPillarTrading LLC. Canadian shipping not verified. IMPORTANT: the study’s uncertainty extends to zero. There is no finite upper average-spend bound supported by that interval; the headline is only its highly uncertain point estimate.
Chance of hitting at different spending levels
| Pack budget | Chance of selected hit | Pack-equivalent spend |
|---|---|---|
| 36 packs | 1.8% | C$3,423.21 |
| 100 packs | 4.9% | C$9,508.92 |
| 1386 packs | 50.0% | C$131,793.67 |
| 4605 packs | 90.0% | C$437,885.89 |
The final two budgets reach at least 50% and 90% modeled hit chance respectively. Neither guarantees a hit. All costs use 36-pack booster box and the unrounded per-pack price.
Sources, calculation and uncertainty
TCGplayer original opening study · More than 8,000 packs · Article updated Feb 27, 2025. Probability basis: Published specific alternate-art VMAX estimate of 0.05% per pack, with a very wide 95% interval of ±0.05 percentage points.
Average packs = 1 ÷ p. Gross average spend = pack cost ÷ p. Chance after n packs = 1 − (1 − p)n. Source sample estimates and rounded rates are uncertain; actual results can differ substantially. This uses point estimates, not a confidence range. Each set needs its own evidence; a rarity does not have the same odds across sets.
Gross pack spend is not net loss or return on investment. Other cards pulled may retain value; selling fees, postage and condition affect realizable proceeds. A pulled card may not be Near Mint. We have not audited every C$200+ card in this set, so no complete threshold or buy/wait rating is claimed.
CAD conversion source · Read the methodology →
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Chilling Reign
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 236258, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$651.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$676.33 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$714.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$739.88 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$750.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$751.43 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$758.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$762.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$763.24 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$763.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$700.34 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$687.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$692.20 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$696.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$694.66 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$692.43 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$690.86 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$685.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$684.60 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$687.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$677.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$672.93 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$672.16 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$679.69 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$685.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$698.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$701.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$702.56 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$702.58 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$700.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$701.23 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$702.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$700.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$701.07 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$698.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$699.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$699.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$699.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-06 | C$698.98 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-09 | C$698.98 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09 |
| 2026-08-12 | C$698.54 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12 |
| 2026-08-15 | C$698.31 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15 |
| 2026-08-18 | C$698.31 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18 |
| 2026-08-21 | C$696.08 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21 |
| 2026-08-24 | C$696.08 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-27 | C$696.08 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27 |
| 2026-08-30 | C$693.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30 |
| 2026-09-02 | C$690.92 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02 |
| 2026-09-05 | C$689.72 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05 |
| 2026-09-08 | C$684.46 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-11 | C$680.37 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-14 | C$677.25 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-17 | C$673.56 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-20 | C$667.87 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20 |
| 2026-09-23 | C$666.68 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-26 | C$666.65 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26 |
| 2026-09-29 | C$659.31 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29 |
| 2026-10-02 | C$652.41 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-05 | C$648.77 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$649.46 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$647.41 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$645.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$645.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$641.81 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$641.81 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$641.81 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$635.92 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$635.29 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$635.16 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$635.16 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$635.78 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$636.75 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$637.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$637.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$641.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$641.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$642.41 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$642.41 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$642.41 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$647.08 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$647.08 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$647.59 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$647.59 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$646.69 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$649.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$648.82 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$649.04 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
elite trainer boxPokemon - Chilling Reign - Elite Trainer Box - Ice Rider CalyrexC$249.95 CADC$31.24 per pack · Retailer-stated 8 packsView dated source offer ↗
Original opening-study evidence · English packs
Observed pull-rate estimates
Cardzard Gaming, June 2021 · 5,000 packs · Original tables checked November 3, 2026.
Important limitations
Approximate percentages converted from the original chart's rounded reciprocal frequencies. 90% of packs came from booster boxes; opening results varied. No exact counts or confidence intervals are inferred from rounded odds. Categories may overlap; these are not individual-card or profit probabilities.
These figures describe the stated sample, not guaranteed odds for your next pack. Individual-card and full-pack profit probabilities require additional evidence.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Chilling Reign Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$649.04 CAD · Market estimate · US464.33
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 16 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Chilling Reign Booster Box |
C$649.04 | 36 packs · C$18.03/pack |
![Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Ice Rider Calyrex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236260_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Ice Rider Calyrex] |
C$198.49 | 8 packs · C$24.81/pack |
![Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Shadow Rider Calyrex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236261_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Shadow Rider Calyrex] |
C$207.71 | 8 packs · C$25.96/pack |
![Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/244410_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] |
C$433.21 | 8 packs · C$54.15/pack |
 Chilling Reign Booster Pack |
C$16.73 | 1 pack · C$16.73/pack |
![Chilling Reign Premium Checklane Blister [Decidueye] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236278_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Premium Checklane Blister [Decidueye] |
C$16.77 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$26.80 | 1 pack · C$26.80/pack |
![Chilling Reign Single Pack Blister [Morpeko] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236273_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Single Pack Blister [Morpeko] |
C$31.46 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Chilling Reign Single Pack Blister [Phanpy] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236272_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Single Pack Blister [Phanpy] |
C$31.77 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Chilling Reign 2 Pack Blister [Galarian Zapdos V, Articuno V, Moltres V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/245856_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign 2 Pack Blister [Galarian Zapdos V, Articuno V, Moltres V] |
C$65.46 | 2 packs · C$32.73/pack |
![Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236268_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] |
C$78.79 | 3 packs · C$26.26/pack |
![Chilling Reign Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 5] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/492290_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 5] |
C$91.32 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister [Snorlax] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236269_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign 3 Pack Blister [Snorlax] |
C$95.78 | 3 packs · C$31.93/pack |
![Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 5] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/256274_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 5] |
C$139.77 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Chilling Reign Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Shadow Rider Calyrex] (Exclusive) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/247282_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Shadow Rider Calyrex] (Exclusive) |
C$268.28 | 8 packs · C$33.54/pack |
![Chilling Reign Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Ice Rider Calyrex] (Exclusive) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/247281_in_400x400.jpg) Chilling Reign Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box [Ice Rider Calyrex] (Exclusive) |
C$292.50 | 8 packs · C$36.56/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Blaziken VMAX (Alternate Art Secret) · Holofoil | C$528.56 | Secret Rare |
| Galarian Moltres V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$325.55 | Ultra Rare |
| Snorlax (Secret) · Holofoil | C$202.29 | Secret Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Chilling Reign Booster Box — C$649.04 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$18.03 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 233 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Battle Styles
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 229277, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$325.98 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$334.34 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$339.23 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$340.41 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$341.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$345.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$351.56 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$353.81 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$356.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$352.92 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$323.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$345.26 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$361.19 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$366.32 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$369.26 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$371.28 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$373.70 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$371.07 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$364.28 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$358.54 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$359.16 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$370.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$376.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$378.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$381.45 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$380.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$380.63 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$383.86 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$384.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$386.25 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$383.92 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$382.19 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$389.06 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$392.85 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$397.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$405.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$405.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$407.85 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-06 | C$408.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-09 | C$409.86 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09 |
| 2026-08-12 | C$410.04 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12 |
| 2026-08-15 | C$411.96 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15 |
| 2026-08-18 | C$413.26 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18 |
| 2026-08-21 | C$413.60 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21 |
| 2026-08-24 | C$413.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-27 | C$410.93 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27 |
| 2026-08-30 | C$410.02 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30 |
| 2026-09-02 | C$409.77 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02 |
| 2026-09-05 | C$409.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05 |
| 2026-09-08 | C$408.44 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-11 | C$407.33 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-14 | C$407.24 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-17 | C$396.36 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-20 | C$407.25 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20 |
| 2026-09-23 | C$406.75 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-26 | C$406.37 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26 |
| 2026-09-29 | C$404.15 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29 |
| 2026-10-02 | C$402.99 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-05 | C$397.46 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$397.52 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$397.21 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$396.88 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$393.44 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$392.82 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$392.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$392.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$392.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$392.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$392.96 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$394.25 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$394.25 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$394.25 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$394.25 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$400.74 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$400.74 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$400.74 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$401.83 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$402.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$404.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$404.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$404.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$404.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$406.07 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$406.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$406.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$406.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$406.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
elite trainer boxPokemon - Battle Styles - Elite Trainer Box - Single Strike UrshifuC$199.95 CADC$24.99 per pack · Retailer-stated 8 packsView dated source offer ↗
Original opening-study evidence · English packs
Observed pull-rate estimates
TheGameCapital / original community opening spreadsheet · Original tables checked November 3, 2026.
Important limitations
Counts divided by the sheet's stated 20,195-pack denominator. Its header says 561 boxes, which would normally be 20,196 packs; the one-pack discrepancy is disclosed rather than silently corrected. Tier labels follow the source; full-art may include subsets. Do not add percentages or assume equal individual-card odds.
These figures describe the stated sample, not guaranteed odds for your next pack. Individual-card and full-pack profit probabilities require additional evidence.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Battle Styles Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$406.68 CAD · Market estimate · US290.94
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 17 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Battle Styles Booster Box |
C$406.68 | 36 packs · C$11.30/pack |
![Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Rapid Strike Urshifu] (Blue) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229285_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Rapid Strike Urshifu] (Blue) |
C$179.39 | 8 packs · C$22.42/pack |
![Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Single Strike Urshifu] (Red) — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229284_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Single Strike Urshifu] (Red) |
C$185.59 | 8 packs · C$23.20/pack |
![Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/244414_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] |
C$355.35 | 8 packs · C$44.42/pack |
 Battle Styles Booster Pack |
C$13.07 | 1 pack · C$13.07/pack |
 Battle Styles Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$14.77 | 1 pack · C$14.77/pack |
![Battle Styles Single Pack Blister [Arrokuda] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229281_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Single Pack Blister [Arrokuda] |
C$16.27 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Battle Styles Premium Checklane Blister [Golisopod] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236457_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Premium Checklane Blister [Golisopod] |
C$26.56 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Battle Styles Single Pack Blister [Charmander] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229280_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Single Pack Blister [Charmander] |
C$36.65 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Battle Styles 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229283_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles 3 Pack Blister [Eevee] |
C$47.22 | 3 packs · C$15.74/pack |
![Battle Styles 3 Pack Blister [Jolteon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/229282_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles 3 Pack Blister [Jolteon] |
C$54.56 | 3 packs · C$18.19/pack |
![Battle Styles Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/265321_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$58.95 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Battle Styles Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/487794_in_400x400.jpg) Battle Styles Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$60.12 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Spring 2021 Collector's Chest Tin |
C$89.19 | 5 packs · C$17.84/pack |
![V Strikers Tin [Empoleon V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236378_in_400x400.jpg) V Strikers Tin [Empoleon V] |
C$126.95 | 5 packs · C$25.39/pack |
![V Strikers Tin [Tyranitar V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/236377_in_400x400.jpg) V Strikers Tin [Tyranitar V] |
C$148.40 | 5 packs · C$29.68/pack |
![V Strikers Tin [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/257189_in_400x400.jpg) V Strikers Tin [Set of 2] |
C$204.44 | Pack mix/count not established |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Tyranitar V (Alternate Full Art) · Holofoil | C$320.71 | Ultra Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Battle Styles Booster Box — C$406.68 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$11.30 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 183 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Shining Fates
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 228821, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$147.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$152.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$151.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$152.00 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$153.67 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$153.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$151.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$152.29 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$158.36 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$161.12 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$160.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$160.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$160.29 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$158.33 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$156.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$162.90 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$162.56 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$172.18 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$176.99 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$181.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$181.31 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$189.32 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$208.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$227.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$227.06 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$221.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$219.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$208.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$207.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$210.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$209.26 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$210.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$210.66 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$208.54 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$208.50 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$206.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$206.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$206.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-06 | C$206.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-09 | C$204.54 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09 |
| 2026-08-12 | C$204.15 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12 |
| 2026-08-15 | C$202.82 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15 |
| 2026-08-18 | C$202.16 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18 |
| 2026-08-21 | C$202.04 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21 |
| 2026-08-24 | C$201.81 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-27 | C$201.49 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27 |
| 2026-08-30 | C$202.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30 |
| 2026-09-02 | C$202.54 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02 |
| 2026-09-05 | C$204.09 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05 |
| 2026-09-08 | C$205.56 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-11 | C$207.04 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-14 | C$206.59 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-17 | C$205.21 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-20 | C$203.66 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20 |
| 2026-09-23 | C$201.69 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-26 | C$193.92 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26 |
| 2026-09-29 | C$191.71 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29 |
| 2026-10-02 | C$193.85 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-05 | C$193.57 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$193.50 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$193.65 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$193.27 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$193.39 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$193.30 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$194.63 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$194.42 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$194.42 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$194.42 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$192.59 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$192.03 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$192.64 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$192.64 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$192.64 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$193.05 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$193.60 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$193.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$195.19 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$196.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$197.09 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$198.77 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$199.27 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$199.27 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$199.77 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$198.57 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$198.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$198.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$198.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
mini tinPokemon - Shining Fates - Mini Tin - ReshiramC$49.95 CADC$24.98 per pack · Retailer-stated 2 packsView dated source offer ↗
Community opening sample · English packs
Historical rarity observations
Burpies / Elite Fourum: 2,187 packs, compiled manually from YouTube and Twitch openings. Checked November 2, 2026.
Important limitations
Observational sample, not a random manufacturer audit. Video selection, product batching and unobserved print runs may bias the results; statistical margins do not cover those biases. These are rarity frequencies, not odds of recovering your spending or pulling any C$200+ card. Categories may overlap.
We use the published percentages rather than inconsistent “1 in” conversions. No individual-card odds are inferred by assuming equal frequency.
Original research and methodology
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate
C$198.61 CAD · Market estimate · US142.09
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 12 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box |
C$198.61 | 10 packs · C$19.86/pack |
 Shining Fates Booster Pack |
C$25.33 | 1 pack · C$25.33/pack |
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Zarude] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230957_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Mini Tin [Zarude] |
C$41.60 | 2 packs · C$20.80/pack |
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Manaphy] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230959_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Mini Tin [Manaphy] |
C$43.54 | 2 packs · C$21.77/pack |
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Celebi] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230958_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Mini Tin [Celebi] |
C$47.40 | 2 packs · C$23.70/pack |
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Kyogre] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230960_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Mini Tin [Kyogre] |
C$50.13 | 2 packs · C$25.07/pack |
![Shining Fates Mini Tin [Reshiram] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/230956_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Mini Tin [Reshiram] |
C$53.17 | 2 packs · C$26.59/pack |
![Shining Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/265320_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$83.83 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Shining Fates V Tin [Eldegoss V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/228822_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates V Tin [Eldegoss V] |
C$96.48 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Shining Fates V Tin [Boltund V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/228823_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates V Tin [Boltund V] |
C$96.66 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Shining Fates V Tin [Cramorant V] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/228824_in_400x400.jpg) Shining Fates V Tin [Cramorant V] |
C$99.51 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Shining Fates Mini Tin Display |
C$407.79 | 2 packs · C$203.90/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.
Post-ready daily snapshot
Shining Fates Elite Trainer Box — C$198.61 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$19.86 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 195 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 49 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
A reliable set-specific opening-return model is not available. Published rarity-study estimates, where shown, are not profit probabilities.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →