Merchant Mew · Set library
2024 Pokémon sealed research
All released English main and special expansions for this year.
Coverage checked November 2, 2026. Release dates are expansion launches; individual sealed products can launch later. Promotional card series, restaurant promotions, reprint-only mini sets and seasonal Trick or Trade releases are outside this expansion catalog.
Open a set for its release reference and available product research. Each snapshot identifies its dated evidence and comparison method.
Surging Sparks
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 565606, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$352.79 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$348.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$368.82 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$366.00 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$369.15 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$349.86 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$382.16 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$383.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$365.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$358.76 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$371.16 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$359.65 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$369.33 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$369.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$366.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$353.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$333.32 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$360.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$353.92 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$319.55 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$364.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$365.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$371.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$381.73 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$368.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$401.27 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$399.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$402.64 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$418.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$425.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$430.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$426.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$425.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$420.36 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$413.29 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$421.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$419.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$417.41 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-06 | C$415.45 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-09 | C$421.02 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09 |
| 2026-08-12 | C$421.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12 |
| 2026-08-15 | C$416.10 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15 |
| 2026-08-18 | C$428.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18 |
| 2026-08-21 | C$429.19 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21 |
| 2026-08-24 | C$428.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-27 | C$425.98 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27 |
| 2026-08-30 | C$425.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30 |
| 2026-09-02 | C$424.97 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02 |
| 2026-09-05 | C$426.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05 |
| 2026-09-08 | C$424.51 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-11 | C$423.09 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-14 | C$421.93 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-17 | C$423.76 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-20 | C$423.83 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20 |
| 2026-09-23 | C$423.83 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-26 | C$424.33 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26 |
| 2026-09-29 | C$423.25 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29 |
| 2026-10-02 | C$416.19 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-05 | C$417.37 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$418.67 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$421.17 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$420.85 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$421.55 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$422.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$423.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$426.29 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$416.64 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$416.68 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$416.36 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$414.91 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$410.53 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$413.36 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$413.33 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$412.30 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$412.30 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$412.80 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$413.41 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$414.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$415.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$416.75 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$416.71 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$417.34 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$417.13 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$416.91 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$417.87 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$419.33 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$420.95 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
booster boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Surging Sparks - Booster BoxC$419.95 CADC$11.67 per pack · Retailer-stated 36 packsView dated source offer ↗
booster bundlePokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Surging Sparks - Booster BundleC$89.95 CADC$14.99 per pack · Retailer-stated 6 packsView dated source offer ↗
Product research:
- Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box
- Surging Sparks Booster Display Box
- Surging Sparks 3-Pack Blister — Quagsire
Today’s pack-cost comparison · CAD
What does each included pack cost?
Same set, different formats. Promos, accessories, delivery and tax are not deducted or included.
This is a cost comparison, not price movement or a profit forecast. A lower pack cost alone does not establish a good investment.
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source article dated/updated February 27, 2025. Research checked November 2, 2026.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. These percentages measure card rarity, not the chance of earning back the pack price. A hit may still be worth less than the pack.
Read the original pull-rate study
Chance of recovering pack cost and expected net return: not yet verified. Complete raw-card values, pack-slot outcomes, selling fees and postage are still required.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Surging Sparks Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$420.95 CAD · Market estimate · US301.15
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Opening versus buying a selected C$200+ card
Selected targets: Latias ex - 239/191, Pikachu ex - 238/191. This is a partial target list, not the chance of any C$200+ card or of making a profit.
- Latias ex - 239/191: C$234.31 raw market estimate · Underlying pricing reference
- Pikachu ex - 238/191: C$339.01 raw market estimate · Underlying pricing reference
Percentages, assumptions and spending ranges
1.15% measured SIR rate × 2 targets ÷ 11 SIR cards; assumes equal frequency within that rarity.
Odds evidence is cited in this set’s opening-study section. Independent, constant-probability packs are assumed. Gross spend = unrounded market pack cost ÷ selected-hit probability. Whole-product purchases can require more cash. Other pulls, extras, tax, delivery and resale proceeds are excluded; this is not net loss or return on investment.
| Packs opened | Chance of at least one selected hit | Chance of missing |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.21% | 99.79% |
| 10 | 2.07% | 97.93% |
| 100 | 18.89% | 81.11% |
These are model probabilities, not manufacturer guarantees. Raw-card market estimates are not guaranteed condition-specific sale proceeds.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 18 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Surging Sparks Booster Box |
C$419.33 | 36 packs · C$11.65/pack |
 Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box |
C$167.55 | 9 packs · C$18.62/pack |
 Surging Sparks Booster Bundle (Retail) |
C$76.74 | 6 packs · C$12.79/pack |
 Surging Sparks Booster Bundle (LGS) |
C$92.34 | 6 packs · C$15.39/pack |
 Surging Sparks Booster Pack |
C$12.30 | 1 pack · C$12.30/pack |
 Surging Sparks Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$16.17 | 1 pack · C$16.17/pack |
![Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Wooper] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565636_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Wooper] |
C$17.28 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Pachirisu] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565637_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Pachirisu] |
C$17.29 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Sinistcha] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/606614_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Sinistcha] |
C$20.83 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Hisuian Arcanine] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/606613_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Single Pack Blister [Hisuian Arcanine] |
C$39.19 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Premium Checklane Blister [Alakazam] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565638_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Premium Checklane Blister [Alakazam] |
C$42.33 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565605_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$49.31 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Premium Checklane Blister [Chandelure] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565639_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Premium Checklane Blister [Chandelure] |
C$53.17 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565603_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$61.10 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Surging Sparks 3 Pack Blisters [Quagsire] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565635_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks 3 Pack Blisters [Quagsire] |
C$63.50 | 3 packs · C$21.17/pack |
![Surging Sparks 3 Pack Blisters [Zapdos] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/565634_in_400x400.jpg) Surging Sparks 3 Pack Blisters [Zapdos] |
C$67.47 | 3 packs · C$22.49/pack |
| Surging Sparks Half Booster Box | C$272.17 | 18 packs · C$15.12/pack |
 Surging Sparks Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$342.96 | 11 packs · C$31.18/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Pikachu ex - 238/191 · Holofoil | C$339.01 | Special Illustration Rare |
| Latias ex - 239/191 · Holofoil | C$234.31 | Special Illustration Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Surging Sparks Booster Box — C$419.33 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$11.65 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 252 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Rip or buy? · All headline amounts in CAD
What could it cost to pull your target?
Each selected raw card below has a checked ask above C$200. This models the first hit of either of these two targets. It does not measure the chance of pulling any C$200+ card in the whole set.
Compare buying the card directly
Pikachu ex 238/191
C$338.27 CADUS$242.00 · Selected ask from Graffiti Games · English Near Mint Holofoil, ungraded
Check the raw-card offer
Latias ex 239/191
C$239.75 CADUS$171.52 · Selected ask from Columbus Card Shop · English Near Mint Holofoil, ungraded
Check the raw-card offerThese are selected TCGplayer seller asks, not the lowest possible price, market averages or guaranteed resale values. Check other sellers and delivered cost before buying. Checked November 2, 2026; USD × 1.3978 using the Bank of Canada daily average. Shipping, tax, conversion fees and Canadian availability are not included or confirmed.
Compare opening costs by sealed format
| Checked format | Cost / pack | Average spend to selected hit |
|---|---|---|
|
36-pack booster box C$419.95 / 36 packs |
C$11.67 | C$5,579.05 |
|
6-pack booster bundle C$89.95 / 6 packs |
C$14.99 | C$7,169.93 |
All packs are treated as independent draws with the same estimated odds. Product premiums, promos and accessories are not deducted. Whole-product purchases can require more cash.
Chance of hitting at different spending levels
| Pack budget | Chance of selected hit | Pack-equivalent spend |
|---|---|---|
| 36 packs | 7.3% | C$419.95 |
| 100 packs | 18.9% | C$1,166.53 |
| 332 packs | 50.1% | C$3,872.87 |
| 1101 packs | 90.0% | C$12,843.47 |
The final two budgets reach at least 50% and 90% modeled hit chance respectively. Neither guarantees a hit. All costs use 36-pack booster box and the unrounded per-pack price.
Sources, calculation and uncertainty
TCGplayer original opening study · More than 8,000 packs · Article updated February 27, 2025. Probability basis: 1.15% SIR rate × 2 selected targets ÷ 11 SIR cards.
Average packs = 1 ÷ p. Gross average spend = pack cost ÷ p. Chance after n packs = 1 − (1 − p)n. Source sample estimates and rounded rates are uncertain; actual results can differ substantially. This uses point estimates, not a confidence range. Each set needs its own evidence; a rarity does not have the same odds across sets.
Gross pack spend is not net loss or return on investment. Other cards pulled may retain value; selling fees, postage and condition affect realizable proceeds. A pulled card may not be Near Mint. We have not audited every C$200+ card in this set, so no complete threshold or buy/wait rating is claimed.
CAD conversion source · Read the methodology →
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Stellar Crown
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 557354, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$354.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$363.81 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$368.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$366.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$370.21 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$368.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$373.31 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$375.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$384.60 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$392.98 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$402.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$410.09 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$412.60 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$415.48 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$419.21 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$426.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$426.06 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$427.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$430.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$431.50 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$431.79 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$440.39 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$454.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$463.12 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$467.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$477.50 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$480.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$489.59 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$499.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$500.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$500.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$497.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$495.48 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$494.30 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$490.39 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$469.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$469.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$455.56 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-06 | C$454.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-09 | C$449.98 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09 |
| 2026-08-12 | C$452.61 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12 |
| 2026-08-15 | C$449.38 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15 |
| 2026-08-18 | C$445.35 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18 |
| 2026-08-21 | C$440.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21 |
| 2026-08-24 | C$439.24 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24 |
| 2026-08-27 | C$438.85 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27 |
| 2026-08-30 | C$438.36 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30 |
| 2026-09-02 | C$434.58 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02 |
| 2026-09-05 | C$431.78 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05 |
| 2026-09-08 | C$431.71 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08 |
| 2026-09-11 | C$431.65 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11 |
| 2026-09-14 | C$431.74 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14 |
| 2026-09-17 | C$431.19 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17 |
| 2026-09-20 | C$431.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20 |
| 2026-09-23 | C$432.28 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23 |
| 2026-09-26 | C$432.30 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26 |
| 2026-09-29 | C$430.86 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29 |
| 2026-10-02 | C$426.27 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02 |
| 2026-10-05 | C$422.64 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$423.13 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$421.45 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$420.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$420.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$420.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$420.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$420.25 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$418.86 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$420.42 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$420.42 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$419.13 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$419.63 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$419.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$419.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$419.97 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$420.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$420.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$420.12 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$420.79 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$421.19 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$421.63 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$424.65 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$425.66 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$426.66 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$428.29 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$429.56 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$429.56 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$429.66 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source dated Feb 27, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Rows may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, pack-cost recovery or profit.
Read the original study
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Stellar Crown Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$429.66 CAD · Market estimate · US307.38
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 18 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Stellar Crown Booster Box |
C$429.56 | 36 packs · C$11.93/pack |
 Stellar Crown Elite Trainer Box |
C$225.44 | 9 packs · C$25.05/pack |
 Stellar Crown Booster Bundle |
C$98.01 | 6 packs · C$16.34/pack |
 Stellar Crown Booster Pack |
C$14.94 | 1 pack · C$14.94/pack |
 Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$15.15 | 1 pack · C$15.15/pack |
![Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister [Porygon2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557341_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister [Porygon2] |
C$17.82 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister [Horsea] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557338_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Single Pack Blister [Horsea] |
C$18.24 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Roaring Moon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/599942_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Roaring Moon] |
C$19.21 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Koraidon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/616948_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Koraidon] |
C$19.57 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Iron Thorns] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/599943_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Iron Thorns] |
C$26.14 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Miraidon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/616947_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Premium Checklane Blister [Miraidon] |
C$29.34 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blisters [Latias] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557334_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blisters [Latias] |
C$50.06 | 3 packs · C$16.69/pack |
![Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blisters [Tinkaton] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557337_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown 3 Pack Blisters [Tinkaton] |
C$51.76 | 3 packs · C$17.25/pack |
![Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557361_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$59.77 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Stellar Crown Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/557357_in_400x400.jpg) Stellar Crown Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$64.01 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Stellar Crown Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$252.64 | 11 packs · C$22.97/pack |
 Stellar Crown Half Booster Box |
C$353.96 | 18 packs · C$19.66/pack |
 Stellar Crown Sleeved Booster Master Carton |
C$1,610.31 | Pack mix/count not established |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.
Post-ready daily snapshot
Stellar Crown Booster Box — C$429.56 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$11.93 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 175 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
Rip or buy? · C$200+ raw-card comparison
Average spend to a C$200+ hit
The sealed market estimate gives a verified pack-cost equivalent of C$11.93. A dependable target-specific probability model is still needed for average spending to a C$200+ hit.
What is still needed for this set?
A measured opening study is now linked above, but a complete C$200+ target list and financial inputs remain unverified. We also need a dated list of qualifying raw English cards priced at C$200 or more. Graded prices and guaranteed promo cards are excluded. Unknown probabilities are not treated as zero, and another set’s odds are not substituted.
Once those inputs are checked, the same comparison will show average gross spend, the chance of still missing, and buying the card directly. The presence of this panel does not mean its numerical research is finished.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Shrouded Fable
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 552999, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$102.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$100.21 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$104.29 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$108.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$110.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$110.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$107.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$107.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$105.06 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$103.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$101.77 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$112.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$115.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$120.24 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$122.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$123.50 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$123.65 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$122.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$126.25 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$122.59 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$126.56 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$145.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$153.87 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$168.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$179.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$184.38 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$186.13 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$182.85 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$179.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$178.50 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$178.28 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$178.44 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$179.30 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$178.88 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$179.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$171.69 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$171.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-07 | C$168.94 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-05–2026-08-07 |
| 2026-08-10 | C$166.97 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-08–2026-08-10 |
| 2026-08-13 | C$155.44 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-11–2026-08-13 |
| 2026-08-16 | C$160.36 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-14–2026-08-16 |
| 2026-08-19 | C$162.30 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-17–2026-08-19 |
| 2026-08-22 | C$159.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-20–2026-08-22 |
| 2026-08-25 | C$159.10 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-23–2026-08-25 |
| 2026-08-28 | C$159.31 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-26–2026-08-28 |
| 2026-08-31 | C$158.96 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-29–2026-08-31 |
| 2026-09-03 | C$158.50 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-01–2026-09-03 |
| 2026-09-06 | C$159.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-04–2026-09-06 |
| 2026-09-09 | C$160.36 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-07–2026-09-09 |
| 2026-09-12 | C$160.16 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-10–2026-09-12 |
| 2026-09-15 | C$160.16 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-13–2026-09-15 |
| 2026-09-18 | C$160.01 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-16–2026-09-18 |
| 2026-09-21 | C$158.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-19–2026-09-21 |
| 2026-09-24 | C$156.61 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-22–2026-09-24 |
| 2026-09-27 | C$157.41 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-25–2026-09-27 |
| 2026-09-30 | C$157.24 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-28–2026-09-30 |
| 2026-10-03 | C$155.67 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-01–2026-10-03 |
| 2026-10-06 | C$154.07 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-04–2026-10-06 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$155.16 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$153.55 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$153.49 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$153.03 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$153.53 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$153.91 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$153.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$153.79 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$154.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$154.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$154.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$154.23 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$153.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$153.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$153.94 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$155.21 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$155.21 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$157.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$157.11 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$157.55 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$157.92 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$157.92 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$157.81 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$157.50 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$157.52 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$157.98 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$157.85 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$157.85 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
elite trainer boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Shrouded Fable - Elite Trainer BoxC$209.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
Original opening-study evidence · English packs
Observed pull-rate estimates
Mark van Zee / Pokémon Investing & Collecting, August 2024 · Original tables checked November 3, 2026.
Important limitations
Original author's published 2,354-pack tally. Percentages calculated from counts, not rounded reciprocal odds. FA-SP is the author's supporter full-art grouping. Early community sample; print-run and selection bias remain. Do not add categories or interpret them as profit odds.
These figures describe the stated sample, not guaranteed odds for your next pack. Individual-card and full-pack profit probabilities require additional evidence.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate
C$157.85 CAD · Market estimate · US112.93
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 9 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box |
C$157.85 | 9 packs · C$17.54/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Booster Bundle |
C$76.61 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Shrouded Fable Booster Pack |
C$17.93 | 1 pack · C$17.93/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Fezandipiti) |
C$29.35 | 2 packs · C$14.68/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Okidogi) |
C$33.53 | 2 packs · C$16.77/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Mini Tin (Zoroark) |
C$46.59 | 2 packs · C$23.30/pack |
![Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister [Pecharunt] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/553007_in_400x400.jpg) Shrouded Fable 3 Pack Blister [Pecharunt] |
C$50.21 | 3 packs · C$16.74/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$228.15 | 11 packs · C$20.74/pack |
 Shrouded Fable Mini Tin Display |
C$298.51 | 2 packs · C$149.26/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.
Post-ready daily snapshot
Shrouded Fable Elite Trainer Box — C$157.85 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$17.54 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 107 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
Rip or buy? · C$200+ raw-card comparison
Average spend to a C$200+ hit
The sealed market estimate gives a verified pack-cost equivalent of C$17.54. A dependable target-specific probability model is still needed for average spending to a C$200+ hit.
What is still needed for this set?
A usable set-specific per-card opening study has not been verified for this page. We also need a dated list of qualifying raw English cards priced at C$200 or more. Graded prices and guaranteed promo cards are excluded. Unknown probabilities are not treated as zero, and another set’s odds are not substituted.
Once those inputs are checked, the same comparison will show average gross spend, the chance of still missing, and buying the card directly. The presence of this panel does not mean its numerical research is finished.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Twilight Masquerade
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 543846, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$406.52 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$415.17 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$420.91 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$428.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$434.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$439.65 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$443.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$445.12 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$444.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$445.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$447.04 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$454.49 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$468.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$473.55 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$475.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$476.48 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$472.26 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$470.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$474.06 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$473.76 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$475.24 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$474.11 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$492.42 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$501.43 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$505.08 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$512.25 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$515.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$513.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$502.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$512.70 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$514.54 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$514.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$515.55 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$508.00 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$506.41 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$505.72 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$504.69 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$506.24 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-08 | C$508.80 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-06–2026-08-08 |
| 2026-08-11 | C$508.60 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-09–2026-08-11 |
| 2026-08-14 | C$506.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-12–2026-08-14 |
| 2026-08-17 | C$505.33 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-15–2026-08-17 |
| 2026-08-20 | C$499.52 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-18–2026-08-20 |
| 2026-08-23 | C$492.33 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-21–2026-08-23 |
| 2026-08-26 | C$487.59 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-24–2026-08-26 |
| 2026-08-29 | C$483.21 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-27–2026-08-29 |
| 2026-09-01 | C$488.25 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-30–2026-09-01 |
| 2026-09-04 | C$489.64 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-02–2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-07 | C$493.14 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-05–2026-09-07 |
| 2026-09-10 | C$495.23 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-08–2026-09-10 |
| 2026-09-13 | C$497.56 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-11–2026-09-13 |
| 2026-09-16 | C$497.06 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-14–2026-09-16 |
| 2026-09-19 | C$494.11 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-17–2026-09-19 |
| 2026-09-22 | C$492.39 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-20–2026-09-22 |
| 2026-09-25 | C$491.62 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-23–2026-09-25 |
| 2026-09-28 | C$484.37 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-26–2026-09-28 |
| 2026-10-01 | C$481.07 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-29–2026-10-01 |
| 2026-10-04 | C$477.14 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-02–2026-10-04 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$477.39 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$476.69 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$476.79 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$476.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$476.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$476.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$476.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$474.46 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$472.32 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$470.39 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$470.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$470.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$470.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$470.26 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$469.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$469.59 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$467.70 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$466.71 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$466.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$466.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$466.40 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$465.58 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$465.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$465.52 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$465.03 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$465.03 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$465.03 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$467.45 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
booster boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Twilight Masquerade - Booster BoxC$479.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
elite trainer boxPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Twilight Masquerade - Elite Trainer BoxC$159.95 CADC$17.77 per pack · Retailer-stated 9 packsView dated source offer ↗
booster bundlePokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Twilight Masquerade - Booster BundleC$119.95 CADPer-pack comparison withheld pending pack-content verificationView dated source offer ↗
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · More than 8,000 packs · Source dated Feb 27, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.
Read the original study
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$467.45 CAD · Market estimate · US334.42
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 16 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box |
C$466.15 | 36 packs · C$12.95/pack |
 Twilight Masquerade Elite Trainer Box |
C$144.16 | 9 packs · C$16.02/pack |
 Twilight Masquerade Booster Bundle |
C$107.28 | 6 packs · C$17.88/pack |
 Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack |
C$13.18 | 1 pack · C$13.18/pack |
![Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Toxel] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544179_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Toxel] |
C$13.89 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Pupitar] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544177_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Single Pack Blister [Pupitar] |
C$14.23 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$15.68 | 1 pack · C$15.68/pack |
![Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Porygon] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544180_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Porygon] |
C$34.93 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Horsea] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544182_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Horsea] |
C$34.94 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Lokix] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/617190_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Lokix] |
C$39.96 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Steelix] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/617189_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Premium Checklane Blister [Steelix] |
C$41.93 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Revavroom] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544172_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Revavroom] |
C$48.80 | 3 packs · C$16.27/pack |
![Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/549487_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$54.02 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/549494_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$61.95 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Snorlax] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544171_in_400x400.jpg) Twilight Masquerade 3 Pack Blister [Snorlax] |
C$65.25 | 3 packs · C$21.75/pack |
 Twilight Masquerade Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$259.32 | 11 packs · C$23.57/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Greninja ex - 214/167 · Holofoil | C$339.41 | Special Illustration Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Twilight Masquerade Booster Box — C$466.15 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$12.95 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 226 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
Rip or buy? · C$200+ raw-card comparison
Average spend to a C$200+ hit
Checked opening-cost reference: Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Twilight Masquerade - Elite Trainer Box, C$17.77 per pack equivalent. Thirty-six packs at that rate cost C$639.80 before delivery and tax. This is spending only; no recovery is implied.
What is still needed for this set?
A measured study is now linked above. It does not supply a complete C$200+ card-value model; target prices and any missing per-card odds still need verification. We also need a dated list of qualifying raw English cards priced at C$200 or more. Graded prices and guaranteed promo cards are excluded. Unknown probabilities are not treated as zero, and another set’s odds are not substituted.
Once those inputs are checked, the same comparison will show average gross spend, the chance of still missing, and buying the card directly. The presence of this panel does not mean its numerical research is finished.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Temporal Forces
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 536225, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$353.03 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$370.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$374.27 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$376.58 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$380.36 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$378.45 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$377.24 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$380.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$376.30 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$376.53 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$353.63 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$360.34 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$366.57 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$375.73 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$393.35 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$399.53 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$403.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$405.39 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$407.08 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$408.81 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$425.08 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$432.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$437.05 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$448.34 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$459.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$465.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$466.99 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$466.78 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$462.27 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$463.94 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$460.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$460.02 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$455.04 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$446.60 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$444.84 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$439.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$439.51 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$424.61 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-08 | C$415.43 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-06–2026-08-08 |
| 2026-08-11 | C$416.99 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-09–2026-08-11 |
| 2026-08-14 | C$421.53 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-12–2026-08-14 |
| 2026-08-17 | C$426.27 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-15–2026-08-17 |
| 2026-08-20 | C$428.75 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-18–2026-08-20 |
| 2026-08-23 | C$431.64 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-21–2026-08-23 |
| 2026-08-26 | C$435.04 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-24–2026-08-26 |
| 2026-08-29 | C$437.19 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-27–2026-08-29 |
| 2026-09-01 | C$440.00 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-30–2026-09-01 |
| 2026-09-04 | C$439.79 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-02–2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-07 | C$441.06 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-05–2026-09-07 |
| 2026-09-10 | C$442.01 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-08–2026-09-10 |
| 2026-09-13 | C$441.58 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-11–2026-09-13 |
| 2026-09-16 | C$442.68 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-14–2026-09-16 |
| 2026-09-19 | C$440.40 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-17–2026-09-19 |
| 2026-09-22 | C$439.47 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-20–2026-09-22 |
| 2026-09-25 | C$436.46 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-23–2026-09-25 |
| 2026-09-28 | C$429.38 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-26–2026-09-28 |
| 2026-10-01 | C$421.67 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-29–2026-10-01 |
| 2026-10-04 | C$421.67 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-02–2026-10-04 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$422.60 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$422.04 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$425.90 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$427.08 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$427.08 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$429.01 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$429.01 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$429.01 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$432.76 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$432.76 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$432.76 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$432.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$433.88 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$436.45 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$436.84 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$439.06 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$439.54 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$441.82 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$443.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$443.20 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$442.00 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$446.02 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$446.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$446.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$446.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$447.46 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$448.71 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$448.32 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Compare factory-sealed boxes, ETBs and blisters as distinct products. Check the exact pack count and edition before comparing per-pack prices.
No matching available standard sealed-product offer was found in the checked 401 Games catalog. This does not establish availability elsewhere.
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source article dated/updated February 27, 2025. Research checked November 2, 2026.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. These percentages measure card rarity, not the chance of earning back the pack price. A hit may still be worth less than the pack.
Read the original pull-rate study
Chance of recovering pack cost and expected net return: not yet verified. Complete raw-card values, pack-slot outcomes, selling fees and postage are still required.
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Temporal Forces Booster Box · Latest market estimate
C$448.32 CAD · Market estimate · US320.73
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 19 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Temporal Forces Booster Box |
C$448.71 | 36 packs · C$12.46/pack |
![Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Iron Leaves ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/532848_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Iron Leaves ex] |
C$178.30 | 9 packs · C$19.81/pack |
![Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Walking Wake] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/532845_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Walking Wake] |
C$203.04 | 9 packs · C$22.56/pack |
![Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/532849_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Elite Trainer Box [Set of 2] |
C$338.99 | 9 packs · C$37.67/pack |
 Temporal Forces Booster Bundle |
C$122.15 | 6 packs · C$20.36/pack |
 Temporal Forces Booster Pack |
C$14.72 | 1 pack · C$14.72/pack |
![Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Carvanha] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/536284_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Carvanha] |
C$15.75 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Bellibolt] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/536594_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Bellibolt] |
C$16.30 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster Pack |
C$16.45 | 1 pack · C$16.45/pack |
![Temporal Forces Premium Checklane Blister [Baxcalibur] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544679_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Premium Checklane Blister [Baxcalibur] |
C$24.76 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/544687_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Premium Checklane Blister [Togekiss] |
C$27.91 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Set of 2] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/670916_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Single Pack Blister [Set of 2] |
C$33.88 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister [Cyclizar] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/536227_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister [Cyclizar] |
C$45.11 | 3 packs · C$15.04/pack |
![Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister [Cleffa] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/536229_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces 3 Pack Blister [Cleffa] |
C$45.99 | 3 packs · C$15.33/pack |
![Temporal Forces Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/538786_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$55.77 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/538789_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$60.65 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/538807_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Sleeved Booster Pack Bundle [Set of 8] |
C$120.07 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Temporal Forces Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Iron Leaves] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/532853_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Iron Leaves] |
C$276.04 | 11 packs · C$25.09/pack |
![Temporal Forces Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Walking Wake] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/538775_in_400x400.jpg) Temporal Forces Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) [Walking Wake] |
C$296.68 | 11 packs · C$26.97/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
No current priced catalog entry in this sample reaches C$200. Unpriced entries remain unknown.
Post-ready daily snapshot
Temporal Forces Booster Box — C$448.71 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$12.46 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 218 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
Rip or buy? · C$200+ raw-card comparison
Average spend to a C$200+ hit
The sealed market estimate gives a verified pack-cost equivalent of C$12.46. A dependable target-specific probability model is still needed for average spending to a C$200+ hit.
What is still needed for this set?
A set-specific measured study is linked above, but qualifying raw-card coverage is incomplete. We also need a dated list of qualifying raw English cards priced at C$200 or more. Graded prices and guaranteed promo cards are excluded. Unknown probabilities are not treated as zero, and another set’s odds are not substituted.
Once those inputs are checked, the same comparison will show average gross spend, the chance of still missing, and buying the card directly. The presence of this panel does not mean its numerical research is finished.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →
Paldean Fates
Market Watch snapshot · CAD
Product reference image
Market price · CAD
2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 86 dated records
Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.
Price history: sources and observations
TCGplayer product 528040, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.
| Date | CAD equivalent | Observation type |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-01 | C$364.15 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-08 | C$377.39 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-15 | C$394.67 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-22 | C$401.97 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-29 | C$412.16 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-01-31 | C$413.83 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-05 | C$415.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-12 | C$418.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-19 | C$416.75 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-26 | C$419.89 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-02-28 | C$426.68 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-05 | C$447.20 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-12 | C$466.99 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-19 | C$485.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-26 | C$489.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-03-31 | C$500.31 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-02 | C$508.62 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-09 | C$531.22 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-16 | C$570.37 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-23 | C$579.95 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-04-30 | C$585.31 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-07 | C$790.79 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-14 | C$794.90 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-21 | C$776.45 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-28 | C$757.78 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-05-31 | C$751.90 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-04 | C$748.27 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-11 | C$688.71 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-18 | C$666.75 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-25 | C$664.00 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-06-30 | C$665.09 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-02 | C$662.35 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-09 | C$668.96 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-16 | C$671.10 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-23 | C$668.40 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-30 | C$667.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-07-31 | C$667.14 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-05 | C$661.93 | Daily archive snapshot |
| 2026-08-08 | C$653.12 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-06–2026-08-08 |
| 2026-08-11 | C$649.63 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-09–2026-08-11 |
| 2026-08-14 | C$645.87 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-12–2026-08-14 |
| 2026-08-17 | C$639.05 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-15–2026-08-17 |
| 2026-08-20 | C$636.47 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-18–2026-08-20 |
| 2026-08-23 | C$630.55 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-21–2026-08-23 |
| 2026-08-26 | C$625.31 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-24–2026-08-26 |
| 2026-08-29 | C$622.47 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-27–2026-08-29 |
| 2026-09-01 | C$621.41 | Three-day market interval 2026-08-30–2026-09-01 |
| 2026-09-04 | C$620.44 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-02–2026-09-04 |
| 2026-09-07 | C$620.37 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-05–2026-09-07 |
| 2026-09-10 | C$619.91 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-08–2026-09-10 |
| 2026-09-13 | C$618.19 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-11–2026-09-13 |
| 2026-09-16 | C$617.90 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-14–2026-09-16 |
| 2026-09-19 | C$609.78 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-17–2026-09-19 |
| 2026-09-22 | C$605.61 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-20–2026-09-22 |
| 2026-09-25 | C$605.47 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-23–2026-09-25 |
| 2026-09-28 | C$605.25 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-26–2026-09-28 |
| 2026-10-01 | C$604.87 | Three-day market interval 2026-09-29–2026-10-01 |
| 2026-10-04 | C$604.48 | Three-day market interval 2026-10-02–2026-10-04 |
| 2026-10-07 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-08 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-09 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-10 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-11 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-12 | C$603.47 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-13 | C$601.92 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-14 | C$603.49 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-15 | C$603.49 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-16 | C$603.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-17 | C$603.61 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-18 | C$602.62 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-19 | C$612.77 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-20 | C$546.81 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-21 | C$579.64 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-22 | C$612.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-23 | C$612.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-24 | C$612.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-25 | C$612.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-26 | C$612.73 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-27 | C$612.18 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-28 | C$610.95 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-29 | C$610.95 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-30 | C$611.27 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-10-31 | C$609.30 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-01 | C$608.52 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-02 | C$608.00 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
| 2026-11-03 | C$607.48 | TCGplayer daily market chart |
Price movement & demand pace
How to read these comparisons
Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.
Special expansion: compare its actual collections, tins or ETBs individually. Do not assume a standard booster box exists.
Observed retailer asks · CAD
401 Games public product catalog · Checked November 2, 2026. Listed available at that check. One retailer, not market averages or completed sales. Shipping and taxes excluded.
mini tinPokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Paldean Fates - Mini Tin - FinizenC$69.95 CADC$34.98 per pack · Retailer-stated 2 packsView dated source offer ↗
Measured opening odds · Per pack
What might a pack contain?
TCGplayer / eBay Authentication Center opening study · More than 1,500 packs · Source dated Feb 27, 2025. Checked November 2, 2026.
Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. Rarity odds do not establish card value, cost recovery or profit.
Read the original study
Daily source snapshot · Canadian dollars
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box · Latest market estimate
C$607.48 CAD · Market estimate · US434.60
Source updated 2026-11-03 · Shipping and tax excluded
Value, demand & opening outlook
The cohort comparison is today’s pack-cost comparison, not historical cohort growth, expected resale value or a claim that cheaper packs are better investments. Sealed premiums, promos, chase cards and product age differ.
Full-pack value bands—such as the chance of getting back less than the pack cost, C$2, C$200 or C$2,000—remain unavailable. A complete card-value distribution and joint pack-slot probabilities are required. Missing probabilities are not zero.
Compare 21 exact sealed formats
| Exact sealed product | Market estimate | Pack equivalent |
|---|---|---|
|
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box |
C$608.00 | 9 packs · C$67.56/pack |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle |
C$234.19 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Paldean Fates Booster Bundle Display |
C$2,177.17 | 10 packs · C$217.72/pack |
 Paldean Fates Booster Pack |
C$32.89 | 1 pack · C$32.89/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Tinkatink] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528052_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Tinkatink] |
C$71.11 | 2 packs · C$35.56/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Finizen] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528055_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Finizen] |
C$72.07 | 2 packs · C$36.04/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Flamigo] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528050_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Flamigo] |
C$75.76 | 2 packs · C$37.88/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528049_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Smoliv] |
C$90.05 | 2 packs · C$45.03/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Maushold] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528051_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Maushold] |
C$122.92 | 2 packs · C$61.46/pack |
![Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/668624_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Booster Pack Art Bundle [Set of 4] |
C$133.69 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Paldean Fates International Tin [Great Tusk ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528060_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates International Tin [Great Tusk ex] |
C$159.24 | 4 packs · C$39.81/pack |
![Paldean Fates Tin [Iron Treads ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528058_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Tin [Iron Treads ex] |
C$179.11 | 5 packs · C$35.82/pack |
![Paldean Fates Tin [Great Tusk ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528057_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Tin [Great Tusk ex] |
C$194.81 | 5 packs · C$38.96/pack |
![Paldean Fates International Tin [Iron Treads ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528059_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates International Tin [Iron Treads ex] |
C$195.62 | 4 packs · C$48.91/pack |
![Paldean Fates International Tin [Charizard ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528063_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates International Tin [Charizard ex] |
C$219.64 | 4 packs · C$54.91/pack |
![Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528056_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Tin [Charizard ex] |
C$278.39 | 5 packs · C$55.68/pack |
![Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/529039_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Mini Tin [Set of 5] |
C$364.41 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Paldean Fates International Tins [Set of 3] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528227_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates International Tins [Set of 3] |
C$663.96 | Pack mix/count not established |
![Paldean Fates Tins [Set of 3] — sealed product reference](https://tcgplayer-cdn.tcgplayer.com/product/528228_in_400x400.jpg) Paldean Fates Tins [Set of 3] |
C$698.82 | Pack mix/count not established |
 Paldean Fates Mini Tin Display |
C$741.31 | 2 packs · C$370.66/pack |
 Paldean Fates Pokemon Center Elite Trainer Box (Exclusive) |
C$757.82 | 11 packs · C$68.89/pack |
Per-pack costs allocate the entire sealed price to the packs; guaranteed promos and accessories have not been deducted. Tins with unverified or mixed contents receive no same-set pack estimate.
Catalog estimates at C$200 or more
| Exact card / finish | Market estimate | Rarity |
|---|---|---|
| Mew ex - 232/091 · Holofoil | C$1,178.44 | Special Illustration Rare |
| Charizard ex - 234/091 · Holofoil | C$364.56 | Special Illustration Rare |
| Gardevoir ex - 233/091 · Holofoil | C$224.58 | Special Illustration Rare |
Post-ready daily snapshot
Paldean Fates Elite Trainer Box — C$608.00 CAD market estimate. Source updated 2026-11-03. C$67.56 per verified set pack, allocating the entire item price; extras not deducted. TCGplayer pricing via TCGCSV; CAD conversion 1.3978, Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Tax and delivery excluded. Market estimate, not guaranteed resale proceeds or investment return.
Pricing sources, conversion and coverage
Free PokéWallet feed, reporting TCGplayer market estimates. In the returned matched-set sample, 245 card printings have a usable recent USD price and 0 remain unpriced or stale. This count does not guarantee complete set coverage. Estimates are not condition-specific seller asks, cash offers or guaranteed resale proceeds.
USD × 1.3978 CAD per USD · Bank of Canada 2026-11-02. Source updates: 2026-11-01 to 2026-11-02. Shipping, tax and conversion fees excluded.
This is a price screen, not a claim that every listed printing can be pulled from an ordinary pack. Promos, alternate finishes and subset eligibility must match the opening study before they enter a probability model. It does not establish a complete return distribution or a buy/wait recommendation.
Source: PokéWallet daily pricing, underlying TCGplayer market estimates. Neither provider endorses Merchant Mew. Actual seller prices and card condition can differ.
Recorded price changes
Opening-value analysis · evidence pending
Rip or buy? · C$200+ raw-card comparison
Average spend to a C$200+ hit
Checked opening-cost reference: Pokemon - Scarlet and Violet - Paldean Fates - Mini Tin - Finizen, C$34.98 per pack equivalent. Thirty-six packs at that rate cost C$1,259.10 before delivery and tax. This is spending only; no recovery is implied.
What is still needed for this set?
A measured study is now linked above. It does not supply a complete C$200+ card-value model; target prices and any missing per-card odds still need verification. We also need a dated list of qualifying raw English cards priced at C$200 or more. Graded prices and guaranteed promo cards are excluded. Unknown probabilities are not treated as zero, and another set’s odds are not substituted.
Once those inputs are checked, the same comparison will show average gross spend, the chance of still missing, and buying the card directly. The presence of this panel does not mean its numerical research is finished.
Historical market movement is shown above for the available dates. Comparable completed-sales volume and complete pack-return probabilities remain unverified; a price change alone does not establish demand or predict investment returns.
Release / set reference · How we verify the numbers →