Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box | Market Watch

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Merchant Mew · Market Watch · Free access

Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box manufacturer product image

Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box

Standard ETBEnglish9 packs per box

Released November 8, 2024

All comparison prices in Canadian dollars (CAD / C$)

Research checked November 4, 2026. Exact English factory-sealed product; all headline prices are Canadian dollars. No email, account or purchase required.

Exact product · Canadian dollars

Surging Sparks Elite Trainer Box

C$167.25 CAD · Market estimate · 2026-11-03

English factory-sealed product. Shipping and taxes excluded.

Market price · CAD

2026-01-01 — 2026-11-03 · 87 dated records

Recorded prices; smooth lines show transitions, not unobserved daily prices. C$85.33C$143.07C$200.8201-0103-1806-0308-1811-03C$167.25 CAD

Weekly archive snapshots plus dated three-day market intervals; smooth transitions do not imply daily closing prices. Product-specific, English factory-sealed edition.

Price history: sources and observations

TCGplayer product 565630, published market chart and TCGCSV/PokeFolio daily archive. Three-day intervals are plotted at their end date; overlapping daily records are not double-counted. Checked November 4, 2026. USD values use a fixed 1.3978 CAD/USD conversion (Bank of Canada, November 2, 2026), so percentage changes reflect product prices rather than exchange-rate movement. Delivery, taxes and selling fees excluded.

Date CAD equivalent Observation type
2026-01-01 C$96.50 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-08 C$101.56 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-15 C$108.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-22 C$105.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-29 C$103.65 Daily archive snapshot
2026-01-31 C$103.02 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-05 C$109.83 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-12 C$108.90 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-19 C$115.16 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-26 C$113.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-02-28 C$115.60 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-05 C$120.63 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-12 C$123.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-19 C$128.75 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-26 C$130.21 Daily archive snapshot
2026-03-31 C$133.14 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-02 C$134.54 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-09 C$132.85 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-16 C$142.88 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-23 C$144.03 Daily archive snapshot
2026-04-30 C$151.79 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-07 C$154.61 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-14 C$157.15 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-21 C$170.74 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-28 C$169.55 Daily archive snapshot
2026-05-31 C$172.00 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-04 C$177.32 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-11 C$180.69 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-18 C$186.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-25 C$185.45 Daily archive snapshot
2026-06-30 C$189.64 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-02 C$188.24 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-09 C$186.38 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-16 C$185.01 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-23 C$174.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-30 C$172.70 Daily archive snapshot
2026-07-31 C$171.05 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-05 C$167.96 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-06 C$166.52 Daily archive snapshot
2026-08-09 C$171.45 Three-day market interval 2026-08-07–2026-08-09
2026-08-12 C$173.76 Three-day market interval 2026-08-10–2026-08-12
2026-08-15 C$176.63 Three-day market interval 2026-08-13–2026-08-15
2026-08-18 C$177.94 Three-day market interval 2026-08-16–2026-08-18
2026-08-21 C$181.02 Three-day market interval 2026-08-19–2026-08-21
2026-08-24 C$181.10 Three-day market interval 2026-08-22–2026-08-24
2026-08-27 C$180.12 Three-day market interval 2026-08-25–2026-08-27
2026-08-30 C$176.84 Three-day market interval 2026-08-28–2026-08-30
2026-09-02 C$171.55 Three-day market interval 2026-08-31–2026-09-02
2026-09-05 C$168.84 Three-day market interval 2026-09-03–2026-09-05
2026-09-08 C$169.44 Three-day market interval 2026-09-06–2026-09-08
2026-09-11 C$174.26 Three-day market interval 2026-09-09–2026-09-11
2026-09-14 C$176.43 Three-day market interval 2026-09-12–2026-09-14
2026-09-17 C$175.91 Three-day market interval 2026-09-15–2026-09-17
2026-09-20 C$174.66 Three-day market interval 2026-09-18–2026-09-20
2026-09-23 C$171.61 Three-day market interval 2026-09-21–2026-09-23
2026-09-26 C$169.82 Three-day market interval 2026-09-24–2026-09-26
2026-09-29 C$171.43 Three-day market interval 2026-09-27–2026-09-29
2026-10-02 C$169.64 Three-day market interval 2026-09-30–2026-10-02
2026-10-05 C$171.69 Three-day market interval 2026-10-03–2026-10-05
2026-10-07 C$172.28 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-08 C$172.78 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-09 C$172.73 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-10 C$171.51 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-11 C$171.31 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-12 C$171.85 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-13 C$169.39 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-14 C$168.83 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-15 C$166.10 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-16 C$165.26 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-17 C$164.97 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-18 C$158.86 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-19 C$162.44 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-20 C$165.46 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-21 C$166.80 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-22 C$168.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-23 C$168.69 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-24 C$168.17 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-25 C$170.03 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-26 C$170.52 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-27 C$169.62 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-28 C$169.29 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-29 C$168.23 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-30 C$167.57 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-10-31 C$167.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-01 C$167.55 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-02 C$167.12 TCGplayer daily market chart
2026-11-03 C$167.25 TCGplayer daily market chart
PACK COST EQUIVALENTC$18.589 verified packs; full item price allocated to packs, promos and accessories not deducted.

Price movement & demand pace

DEMAND PACE · MATCHED 30-DAY PERIODS-19.7%126 vs 157 reported units · 2026-10-03–2026-11-01 vs 2026-09-03–2026-10-02. TCGplayer only; not total market demand.
30-DAY PRICE CHANGE · INTERVAL BASIS-1.51%2026-09-30–2026-10-02 vs 2026-10-30–2026-11-01; three-day market values, end dates 30 days apart.
COHORT PACK-COST COMPARISON16.8% below median10 other standard ETB sets; one featured product per set. Median C$22.34/pack. Promos, age and chase cards differ.
COHORT RELATIVE PERFORMANCE · YTD+19.58 percentage pointsOwn 73.31% vs peer median 53.73%; 9 matched peers. Equal weight per product.
90-DAY CHANGE-0.42%2026-08-05 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
YEAR-TO-DATE CHANGE+73.31%2026-01-01 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
7-DAY CHANGE-1.40%2026-10-27 → 2026-11-03; daily archive market snapshots.
BUY NOW OR WAIT? · PRICE & SALES CONTEXTElevated · consider waitingPrice position within 2026-01-01–2026-11-03. Not a forecast or investment recommendation; price can move either way.
How to read these comparisons

Sales pace counts TCGplayer-reported units in two adjacent, complete 30-day windows (ten three-day bins each). The final displayed bin is excluded to avoid incomplete-period or carried-forward data. These are platform observations, not verified whole-market demand or independent eBay totals. Rare products can have very small samples. The 30-day price comparison uses matching three-day windows; it is not an exact daily-close comparison. Exact 7-day change is shown only when both daily archive dates exist. Missing history is not replaced with zero or interpolation.

Measured opening odds · Per pack

What might a pack contain?

TCGplayer Authentication Center · More than 8,000 packs · Source article dated/updated February 27, 2025. Research checked November 2, 2026.

Double Rare95% confidence interval ±0.79 percentage points
16.94%
Ultra Rare95% confidence interval ±0.53 percentage points
6.74%
ACE SPEC Rare95% confidence interval ±0.46 percentage points
5.03%
Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.56 percentage points
7.67%
Special Illustration Rare95% confidence interval ±0.22 percentage points
1.15%
Hyper Rare95% confidence interval ±0.15 percentage points
0.53%

Sample estimates, not manufacturer guarantees. Categories may overlap or include subsets; do not add them. These percentages measure card rarity, not the chance of earning back the pack price. A hit may still be worth less than the pack.

Read the original pull-rate study

Chance of recovering pack cost and expected net return: not yet verified. Complete raw-card values, pack-slot outcomes, selling fees and postage are still required.

Card-value reference · dated November 2, 2026

Catalog estimates at C$200 or more

Exact card / finish Market estimate Rarity
Pikachu ex - 238/191 · Holofoil C$339.01 Special Illustration Rare
Latias ex - 239/191 · Holofoil C$234.31 Special Illustration Rare

Opening value: what the evidence can establish

Published opening-study percentages describe observed rarity frequencies, not the chance of making a profit. A complete C$200+ hit probability or full-pack return distribution is not supplied without verified card-by-card values and pack-slot probabilities. Buying the raw card avoids the uncertainty of trying to pull it.

View the set’s other formats and selected-target opening models →

Shop our raw single cards →

Read our calculation methods →